The UK and European Union negotiators reached a draft Brexit agreement on Tuesday and set up a critical playoff, where…
The UK and European Union negotiators reached a draft Brexit agreement on Tuesday and set up a critical playoff, where Prime Minister Theresa May must now try to sell the plan to his skeptical ministers and parliament.
After more than two years of wrangling over Brexit, Ms. May is prepared to put the proposed pact before her deeply divided cabinets on Wednesday. Her political future and her conservative party may well depend on the outcome. If the Prime Minister does not receive the necessary support, she can face the prospect of being unpublished by her party or forced to call new elections.
Euroskeptic Tories are cautious about any agreement that, in their opinion, would give Brussels an undesirable statement in British affairs or risk effectively distinguishing Northern Ireland from the rest of Britain Boris Johnson, who resigned as Foreign Minister in July following a summary of Brexit, called it latest compromise “completely unacceptable”.
In view of these divisions it is not clear how the playoff against Brexit will play. To U.K. and the EU can not ratify a final agreement before March 29, and Britain leaves without agreement, the financial disturbances can be serious. New elections, on the other hand, may even lead to a review of Brexit and a possible second referendum.
Mrs. Can talk to their ministers once on Tuesday evening to defend them behind the draft agreement, whose terms have not been published.
“The state minister knows that at least half her cabinets have big reservations about the new deal,” said Mujtaba Rahman, Europe’s head of Eurasia Group, a consulting company.
Cabinet members are expected to enter the Prime Minister’s office in Downing Street on Wednesday with an important issue: how negotiators have managed to formulate an agreement that ensures that no hard border occurs on the island of Ireland after Brexit has been implemented.
Several ministers have expressed concern that an insurance policy ̵
1; or backstop – could cover the possible costs of claiming Northern Ireland from UK regulations and regulations. Mrs. May has previously said that no Prime Minister could accept such a result.
People who knew the discussions said that the EU has offered a compromise arrangement that would see that the whole of the United Kingdom remains in a customs union with the EU until a trade agreement is agreed and entered into force, which could eliminate the need for a border on the island of Ireland .
But officials said that the draft text contains provisions that ensure that if the United Kingdom left the customs arrangement, important economic rules for Northern Ireland would remain in accordance with EU rules.
This would counter the need for border controls of products moved between Northern Ireland and Ireland, which will remain within the EU.
If the draft agreement cleans its cabinet, Mrs. May has to sell it to Parliament, where her government trusts a fragile alliance with a small Northern Irish party for a majority.
A separate part of the negotiations – a non-legally binding text describing the future relationship between the United Kingdom and the EU – is expected to be central to the agreement’s fate for British legislators.
EU officials were careful on Tuesday, saying a deal is not yet sealed. European officials and diplomats confirmed that negotiations have advanced over the last few days to the point at which Mrs May may present the proposed agreement with its ministers. However, they were cautious about whether there would be political support in London and if the British government could say that further negotiations were needed. “There is a common understanding that needs to be supported by the British government,” said a leading EU diplomat.
Ministers in EU countries may still need to approve the text in the next few days before being sent to the block leaders for review at a summit later this month, officials said.
Explained the breach of the draft agreement, the EU released earlier details on its planning for a Brexit non-agreement earlier Tuesday, setting out the areas where they would agree on temporary arrangements to ease the disturbance next spring if Britain crashes out of the block without an agreement.
The British pound, considered a Brexit barometer of varieties, achieved its strongest level against the euro since April after the draft was processed on Tuesday.
In her own party, Mrs May is housed by both EU countries and EU groups who can re-establish and vote for the draft agreement.
In order to get the votes needed, Mrs May is likely to win over the Workers’ Union legislature who wants her to come from power.
“We will look at the details of what has been agreed when available,” said Jeremy Corbyn, leader of the opposition party.
“However, from what we know about the shamanic handling of these negotiations, it is unlikely that it is a good deal for the country.”