Both crises will test Trump's ability to work on the world stage and the strategic profitability of its "America First"…
Both crises will test Trump’s ability to work on the world stage and the strategic profitability of its “America First” foreign policy. A tariff battle with China highlights a growing great power of rivalry. And Russia’s role as a top energy producer with an interest in global oil prices could open new fronts in an expanded confrontation between Washington and Moscow.
CEO’s Twitter account is usually a reliable guide to his frustrations and complaints and from each other from a tribute to George HW Bush on the day of his funeral, Trump’s feed pulsed with concern on Wednesday about market-moving events.
He effectively dared ministers from the Vienna OPEC meeting not to lower production, a move that could reverse the period of lower oil prices and compromise the effectiveness of new US sanctions introduced as part of a new Iranian hard policy.
“Hopefully OPEC will keep oil streams, that is, not limited. The world does not want to see or need higher oil prices!” Trump wrote.
But most analysts expect OPEC to reduce production by up to 1
.5 million barrels a day to reverse a glut that is partially triggered by a former US request to pump more oil as a pillow against the effects of the new sanctions against Iran.
Such a move can not only rub the continued volatility of global markets, it could drive gas costs in the United States and end a period of lower pump prices, especially welcomed by lower income workers in rural areas, which are important to Trump’s political base .
An OPEC production cut could also question the effectiveness of one of Trump’s most controversial foreign policy moves – keeping Saudi Arabia close despite the suspected role of King Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman, known as MBS, at the murder of Washington Post columnist Jamal Khashoggi in Turkey.
Trump is under extreme pressure in Congress to stand by the MBS and support is based on legislators for a ban on arms sales and new sanctions against kin ngdom. Trump, however, partially justified refusing to cut saudis by noting their importance in the global oil markets.
“Oil price will be lower. Good! As a big tax scale for America and the world. Enjoy! $ 82. Thank you to Saudi Arabia, but let’s go lower!” Trump tweeted on November 21st.
Trump last month declared its solidarity with saudis in the simplest terms yet by a foreign policy strategy founded on the idea that traditional American human rights concerns should be replaced by a drive to maximize commercial benefit from the nation’s foreign relations.
“We will not give up hundreds of millions of dollars in order and let Russia and China have them … it’s a very simple equation for I’ll make America good again,” said the president.
But Trump’s secret exposure in Saudi Arabia is getting worse.
A bipartisan group of senators on Wednesday released a resolution that keeps the crown prince personally responsible for the death of Khashoggi.
The Senate republicans are now open and rare revolt against Trump White House, allowing for a veto-safe majority may exist in order to override the president’s attempt to exercise control over Saudi politics.
Top Trump Allied South Carolina Republican Later Lindsey Graham accused the Saudis of being a “defense ball” that jeopardizes US security interests in the region.
Trump critics who believe the president’s Saudi Arabian politics are also affected by their own business interests will grab a Washington Post report Wednesday that lobbyists representing the kingdom paid for approximately 500 nights at his hotel in Washington DC for three months shortly after he was elected.
Democrats are planning to investigate possible economic relations between Trump and Saudis when they take control of the House of Representatives in January.
MBS is aware of US wishes to limit oil production cuts, given the President’s public and constant support at a time when blurred the Saudi prince throughout the world. But even if it’s huge influence, Saudi Arabia can not control what OPEC does.
The oil producing Canadian province of Alberta has announced that it will reduce production to reverse the supply that has lowered Canadian raw prices.
Another important influence in OPEC is Russia, which is not a member of the organization, but has shown that it is willing to agree to a reduction in production.
Given the importance of high oil prices on Russia’s economy and increased geopolitical strain with the US, exacerbated by Trump’s decision to suspend a meeting with President Vladimir Putin in Argentina this weekend, Moscow may not have the mood to throw the United States a political leg.
Oil price and oil price and the temporary halt for a tariff war that Trump negotiated with China’s president Xi Jinping over the weekend The G20 summit exemplifies the gamble Trump often takes its overtodox global leadership.
An in-depth trade war with China and rising oil prices in violation of US requirements may have consequences that may weaken Trump’s political support, his argument that Americans are better under their leadership and hurt strong economic growth –
China’s repressions to billions Dollar in customs duty imposed on exports has through disproportionately targeted areas where Trump expects support in 2020, including agricultural states like Iowa, which he won in 2016.
So while lambasting China on the campaign trail, accusing the Asian giant to steal the US industry’s job for a strong message in the Midwest, the actions that Trump used to make good on their promises had a political cost  Trump’s Twitter feed again denies its current obsessions – he has tweeted about his trade in Xi seven times in the last 36 hours . His effort was part of an injunction command by the President and other senior officials to strengthen an agreement with the Chinese, which seems to be even less extensive than it originally occurred.
“Very strong signals sent by China once they returned home from their long journey, including stops, from Argentina,” Trump tweeted on Tuesday. “
” Not to let naive or anything but I think President Xi meant all words of what he said at our long and hopefully historic meeting. ALL topics discussed! “
Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped nearly 800 points on its most recent trading day on Tuesday, as investors realized that the deal between Trump and Xi may not spell out hostilities for long.
” This customs situation is still looming over the market, “says JJ Kinahan, chief market strategy at TD Ameritrade, CNN on Tuesday.
On Wednesday, however, China moved to ease some of these concerns after it was originally withdrawal to give details of what it had reported to rattled the markets and anger Trump .
Beijing acknowledged a 90-day call for conversation and confirmed its willingness to implement “already agreed specific points as soon as possible” a move that Trump noted when tweeted about “very strong signals.”
White House also says that the deal with Xi will see China buy large amounts of US agricultural products to close him the sub-deficit and includes an agreement from Beijing to limit the flow of fentanyl, a powerful opioid, to the United States.
In return, Trump agreed to stick to plans to raise all current rates to 25% on January 1.
Having often talked about bulliness during most of the first two years of its presidency, Trump has shown that they recently have signs of concern about optics to hide stock markets that have now given up most of the year’s gin.
The Wall Street Journal reported last month that Trump had soured on finance minister Steven Mnuchin partly because of the volatility of the stock exchange, his support for Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell and a more reconciliation approach to China than any hawkish White House adviser.
Trump denied the report, but it added the impression that the president was increasingly concerned about how the economic turmoil abroad could weaken his political potency in the home.