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The latest forecast shows wet, mild winter to much of the United States: what it means to Chicago

Winter looks wet and is particularly mild to much of the country, thanks to a weak El Nino brewing, US…

Winter looks wet and is particularly mild to much of the country, thanks to a weak El Nino brewing, US Meteorologists said.

National Weather Service on Thursday predicted a warmer than normal winter for three and three quarters in the north and west of the nation. The biggest chance of warmer than normal winter weather is in Alaska, Pacific Northwest, Montana, North Wyoming and West North Dakota.

And while the Chicago area and the rest of the Great Lakes region are expected to see higher temperatures, forecasters note that it does not mean that we will not see cold rods. In other words, do not keep these winter jackets, scarves and gloves in storage. Of course, the two competing farmers’ almanacs have offered competing winter forecasts for the Chicago area, with one saying that there will be teeth chatting cold and the other suggests that it gets mild.

No space in the United States is expected to be colder than normal, “said Mike Halpert, deputy director of the government’s climate preference center.

South East, Ohio Valley and Mid-Atlantic can go anywhere on temperature, said Halpert.

Everywhere winter looks like the last, Halpert said.

“The country as a whole has been quite mild since 201

4-2015,” said Halpert.

Winter weather expert Judah Cohen, of the private company Atmospheric and Environmental Research, uses various indicators to predict the winter of the National Science Foundation. He also predicted a warm winter, strongly based on a faint snowfall in Siberia.

PRECIPITATION

Before the Great Lakes, including Chicago and suburbs, you expect below average precipitation this winter, forecasters say.

It contrasts with the southern third of the United States and much of the east coast, which can go down for a warmer than usual December to January, Halpert said. Chances are highest in southeastern georgia and much of northern and central florida.

Hawaii, Montana, Michigan, parts of Idaho, Wisconsin, northern Illinois, Indiana and Ohio are expected to become drier than normal, most likely in Hawaii, Montana and Michigan.

The nation’s middle belt and some of the north from California to New York can go any way at precipitation.

The weather service forecast does not reflect snow probability.

EL NINO

Halpert said that the biggest factor in the forecast is a likely El Nino, the natural warming of parts of the Central Pacific that affects the weather worldwide.

El Nino has not really formed yet, but it’s almost hot enough. Meteorologists predict that there is a 75 percent chance that it will be around this winter. But it will be weak, not strong like El Nino, which helped lead to record heat 2015-2016, Halpert said.

BACKGROUND WARNING

While El Nino is the biggest factor in the forecast, long-term warming from human-induced climate change is also a factor, Halpert said.

“Just the same is the little fired we come out of the climate signal to lean things against the hot side,” Halpert said.

But it is not enough to outweigh other factors if they press against cold.

“Even on a warming plan, he says,” does not mean winter is going to be and it will never be cold again. “

Associated Press Health & Science Department receives support from the Howard Hughes Medical Institute’s Department of Science Education. The AP is solely responsible for all content.

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