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Saudi confesses that Khashoggi is dead. What are Trumps alternatives?

October 20, 2018 World 1 Views A state television news bulletin said that a Saudi commission headed by the Crown…

A state television news bulletin said that a Saudi commission headed by the Crown Prince will spend a month to investigate. The bulletin asserted that he was killed in a “fist fight” with the men, as Saudi alleged had gone to Turkey to persuade Khashoggi to return to Saudi Arabia.

The king, who had completely denied knowledge of what happened to the journalist for more than two weeks, expressed “deep regret.” They offered no information about what happened to Khashoggi’s body. Turkish officials have told CNN that he was broken.

White House spokesman Sarah Sanders said the United States “acknowledges the announcement from the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia” and will “closely follow international investigations about this tragic event.”

The Crown Prince spoke to Secretary of State Mike Pompeo if the announcement on Friday said a senior administration official.

Before the Saudi message, Trump stated that he was ready to act, told reporters on Friday that he wanted Congress to be involved in a US response. He also suggested that the United States conduct a probe in the Washington Post journalist’s October 2 disappearance in the Saudi consulate in Istanbul.

“Getting to the bottom of it”

“We are doing surveys now, we have many people working with it and we have other countries working with it,” said Trump to reporters in Arizona . “It’s something we do not like, it’s very serious things and we’re coming to the bottom of it.”

“I will have a lot of congress to decide what to do,” he added.

Trump has said that the consequences for Khashoggi suspected murder would “be very difficult” but he faces a dilemma. He must balance a valuable alliance against a potentially awesome crime ̵

1; like upset legislators who demand action.

And there is likely to be doubt about Saudi official line. Soon after their announcement, Aaron David Miller, vice president of the nonpartisan Wilson Center, asked Twitter if it was “a royal whitewash?”

Republican sena Lindsey Graham in South Carolina tweeted, “To say I’m skeptical of the new Saudi story about Mr. Khashoggi is an understatement.”

“Will it be enough to buy a Trump administration already Is it inclined to give Saudi’s benefit of doubt? “Miller asked. And he noted that the Crown Prince had been responsible for the investigation. “Fox has keys to chicken farm,” added Miller.

Trump needs Saudi Arabia for its foreign policy priorities. However, possible economic ties between the Trump family and Saudi Arabia complicate the image and raise questions about the president’s willingness to hit Riyadh.

It is likely that Miller and other foreign policy analysts are that the White House will strive to create a balance between a public punishment and an understanding that the relationship continues as at the end of the day.

They try to reconcile two irreconcilable, “said Miller, vice president of the non-partisan Wilson Center.” They must maintain the relationship with this horrible act. “The way to synthesize these two irreconcilable solutions, Miller said,” is with Negotiated punishment, a set of understandings that these are the actions the United States has to take, but we have every understanding that the relationship will continue. “

” They would say, “You will have to live with this and at the end of the road if we do not assume more violations, we can go back to business as usual, “Miller explained.

In theory, Trump’s arsenal of responses extends from diplomatic steps to financial penalties. However, some options are already out of the table.

Often during a diplomatic spit, a country will show its dissatisfaction by reminding its ambassador or declaring the ambassador of a country “PNG” or persona non grata – meaning they are no longer welcome to remain.

But Trump administration has not appointed anyone to be the US ambassador to Riyadh and soon after suspicions of Khashoggi disappearance began to intensify, Saudi Arabia called home his ambassador to the United States – a son of King Salman and brother of the Crown Prince.

Closing diplomatic posts

Another possibility would be to close Saudi consulates or other diplomatic posts or reduce their diplomatic staff in the United States, how the US did with Russia in 2017 over the fall of Moscow’s constituencies and in 2018 to express anger on Russia’s poisoning on Britain’s soil in a former Russian spy.

“All of these are options if you really wanted to punish them,” says Gerald Feierstein, a former US ambassador to Yemen, now director of the Middle East Institute.

Feierstein points to other areas where the United States can withdraw cooperation, such as temporary suspension of cooperation with Saudi intelligence agencies, “although it is a two-edged sword” said and noted that the United States gains as well as provides information.

“We can also say that we will freeze contacts with the Interior Ministry, or any security agencies involved” in Khashoggi’s obvious death, “said Feierstein. It may include “some of the special security organizations Mohammed bin Salman has established”, where some members of the 15-member camp of men suspected of traveling to Istanbul to kill Khashoggi seem to work.

 Saudis discussed the plan to attract Jamal Khashoggi to Saudi Arabia, the United States denounces the show

may also apply to sanctions.

Legislators are trying to force their hand on this with a law called the Global Magnitsky Act to trigger an investigation that could lead to punishment for human rights violations. The act requires that the President act within 120 days and gives him legal authority – but does not require him – to set a travel ban and freeze access to a human rights violator in any country.

Like Miller, Feierstein, the administration seeks to try to carry out the punishment carefully.

“My best guess is that they are likely to try to limit the scope of the response,” he said. “I think they would use Magnitsky to sanction and go for people, but I suspect it could be all they do and say it a satisfying response and hope they can continue with the relationship.”

Press from legislator

Legislators can drive for more.

Then. Patrick Leahy, a Vermont Democrat, told CNN Friday that the Saudi regime is a “criminal company” and that “all we have heard so far has not been the truth from the Saudi people. They are just lying.”

He suggested that the United States could “cut back on some of their banks, their visa, we really have the ability to block arms sales”, which is crucial to Saudi Arabia’s ongoing war in Yemen. “We should have done it after they lied to us about the civilian accidents in Yemen,” added Leahy. Others have proposed to stop US military refueling of Saudi plans as bombing Yemen.

James Carafano, a director at the Heritage Foundation, says that the best thing is to stop discussing possible punishment and punishment, let it calm and turn things into investigators.

“The smartest action plan for the United States should be the emphasis on the investigation,” said Carafano. “They should have sent the FBI director, not the state secretary to Turkey and Saudi Arabia,” he added, referring to a trip that Pompeo took earlier this week.

“The strategic relationship with Saudi Arabia and Turkey is too important to risk what we can do when we do not know,” said Carafano. “Speculation does not extend US politics … it’s completely inappropriate. The second reason for focusing on an investigation is that Congress can act on this.”

Trump stated that he wants Congress to help set a response on Friday when he continued to signal his accident.

“Saudi Arabia has been a great ally of us, that’s why it’s so sad,” said Trump. The president and his officials have repeatedly stressed the importance of the American-Saudi relationship.

Belarus is dependent on Saudi Arabia’s financial support for the financing of Syria’s reconstruction, the fight against ISIS and a peace plan for the Middle East.

The West House primarily needs Saudi Arabia to keep international oil markets steady as they confront Iran and introduce new energy sanctions against countries purchasing Iranian oil from November 4.

Pompeo spoke to the Voice of America in Mexico on Friday, said the administration “will consider a large number of potential answers, but I think it’s important thing to do is the facts come out.”

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