<! – -> Scripps Pier after sunset in La Jolla, California. Picture via Hayne Palmour IV / San Diego Union-Tribune…
This is good news. It is less certain today that the ocean’s ocean is 60% warmer than we thought (although they may still be so hot). As reported in Los Angeles Times today (November 1
4, 2018), researchers with UC San Diego Scripp’s Institution of Oceanography and Princeton University must return a widely reported scientific result – based on a paper published in Nature last month – showing that the ocean’s ocean heated dramatically faster than previously believed as a result of climate change.
October 31, 19 October 1990 [Nature] stated that the oceans had warmed 60% more than the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) proposed. On November 6th, mathematician Nic Lewis wrote his criticism of the paper on Judith Curry’s blog. Both Lewis and Curry are critics of the scientific consensus that global warming is ongoing and human-induced.
In his November 6 blog post, Lewis pointed to flaws in October 31st. The authors of the October 31 paper now say that they have redone their calculations, and although they think the ocean is still likely to be warmer than the estimation used by the IPCC, they agree that they are “miffed” the assortment of likelihood. They can no longer support the previous statement about a heat increase that is 60% greater than stated. They now say there are a greater number of probabilities between 10% and 70%, as other studies have already found.
A correction has been submitted to Nature .
] The Los Angeles Times reported that one of the co-authors of the paper – Ralph Keeling at Scripp’s Institution of Oceanography – “took full sign” and thanked Lewis for warning him of the mistake. Keeling told the Los Angeles Times:
But cooler heads on Twitter and elsewhere in the media also weigh in and point out – as it has been necessary to point out time after time – that science is not a “body” fact . “Science is a process. Some of the reason researchers publish is so that other researchers can find errors in their work, so the errors can be corrected.”
All researchers know this. The Los Angeles Times explained it this way: 19659010] While papers are reviewed before publishing, new findings must always be reproduced before they receive broad approval throughout the scientific community …
Times quoted Gerald Meehl, a climate researcher at the National Center for Atmospheric Research in Boulder, Colorado, which says:
Bottom line: An error was found on October 31, 2018 published in Nature – which indicates an increase in the warming of the ocean 60% greater than calculated by IPCC. The authors have confirmed the error and a correction has been submitted to Nature .
October 31, paper in nature: Quantification of the warming of the ocean from changes in atmospheric O2 and CO2 composition
November 6 blog post by Nic Lewis: A major problem with Resplandy et al. ocean heat uptake paper