In the last days before the US Senate election in Alabama in December of December, President Trump turned to his…
In the last days before the US Senate election in Alabama in December of December, President Trump turned to his favorite subject.
“We will have borders across borders,” he said. A few months later, before a special congressional election in Pennsylvania, he proclaimed, “Democrats are the party in holy cities … They like to protect criminals.”
He turned to it again in August in Ohio when he fought for a Republican driving in a special house. “A vote for … Democrats are a voice to let criminals and drugs pour into our country,” he said.
Now it’s the caravan.
During the last stretch of each campaign since the President’s efforts began in 201
5, Trump has always returned to the immigration issue, launching an angry, native-language appeal to its core breeders.
The current caravan has given him a moodful picture of a group of immigrants who slowly go to the border. He has thrown the crowd that contained the Middle East Islands as potential terrorists – later admitted there was no evidence of it.
On Thursday, his administration announced that 800 troops were sent to the border. The White House also considered closing the limit and denying Central Americans in the caravan the opportunity to seek legal asylum in the United States.
It’s an attempt to dominate the conversation, to flood the airwaves in a way that brings an immediate threat, even though the group of immigrants is still about 1,000 miles away from the US border.
The White House has begun a daily conversation about the caravan, according to people who know the conversation, with officials from both the Administration and Congress. White House and Republican Party officials also invite surrogates to go on television and talk about it.
The president himself has repeatedly focused on the caravan.
“As we speak, the Democratic Party is openly encouraging caravan for caravans of illegal aliens to violate our laws and break into our country,” said Trump on Wednesday night during a rally in Wisconsin.
He also claimed that named US cities are freed from violent immigrants, and residents in the named cities gather on their windows to applaud US immigrant agents.
“I’m saying it’s like – watching the World War II movies,” he said. “It’s like watching documentaries during World War I and World War II. The works, they get them, they take them out, and the people are on their windows, they’re clapping and screaming and they’re happy.”
So far, the president is making a unilateral struggle. Most Democrats do not choose to engage and focus instead on care, one that they think is more important to voters.
The Democratic Group American Bridge sent an attention-seeking email Thursday with the subject line “Kanye Traveling to the Caravan.” But the email’s body was about Republicans and already existing health conditions.
“I have to be honest. As an immigrant advocate, I think most Democrats are wise that they do not stay alone in Trump’s framework and stick to the question that kicks [it] in race after race,” said Frank Sharry, executive Director of Immigrant America’s Voice. “Do you want to debate Trump on a caravan 1,000 miles away or in the rough estimation of homestretch policy, or 130 million Americans with existing conditions that can lose their protection?”
“You do not need to enter into a deep immigration policy debate at this time, two weeks before the middle,” he added. “Trump just wants the demagoga question.”
Democrats and immigrant advocates point to evidence of the constraints in Trump’s basic appeal. Many of the candidates he struggled for in earlier elections lost. During the 2017 Gubernatorial Competition in Virginia, Republican candidate Ed Gillespie also turned against immigration during the last weeks campaign, attempting to tie MS-13 gang violence to Democratic candidate Ralph Northam’s voice against banning sanctuary cities.
“We were a little frustrated with him,” said Sharry from Northam. “” Why does he not stand up and talk about immigration, damn it? “But he stood true to his” I am a doctor who cares for care and I will hold on to it and be boring as possible. “”
He won by 9 points.
Trump has told the White House adviser that immigration is a problem that Democrats have no “message at all”, according to a senior white house official.
“It’s a good message, there is a simple contrast,” says senior manager.
Republicans see the general immigration issue as one with force across the country, which can motivate Trump supporters, especially white men, and fear independent. They have run ads in sanctuary cities in Minnesota, Pennsylvania and California. In North Dakota, almost as far from the Mexican border as any other state, many of the Republican advertisements have been about sanctuaries.
“This is a big factor, “said Matt Gorman, a spokesman for the Republican Republic’s Congress Committee.” Immigration – even before the caravan – was a problem that popped in the district for several months, including not even near the border. “
In a national Washington Post- ABC News poll earlier this month saw 16 percent of registered voters immigration as one of the most important issues in their vote. The barrier other issues such as finance, health care and equal treatment of men and women.
The investigators gave the Democrats to Congress an 11-point advantage over Trump about which they trust more to handle immigration. But Trump does it better in terms of border security. A Washington Post-Schar school dissertation in July found that Americans trusted Trump over Democrats in Congress with an 8-point margin when asked about which one was better at border security. His advantage increased to 17 points in congressional battlefields, which lean more Republican.
“Limit protection is a real concern among voters, and the caravan raises the question at a rather important time,” said Neil Newhouse, a Republican opinion poll. “And it has an impact because border security is already a problem in this choice.”
Republicans believe the argument is the most reasoning in border states, including competition contests in Texas and Arizona.
In Indiana, Mike Braun’s campaign repeatedly refers to late Joe Donnelly (D-Ind.) As “Mexico Joe” – a reference to a family company that is dependent on Mexican labor – even though talking about health care, economy or Iran’s nuclear agreement.
In Missouri, Republican candidate Josh Hawley has invoked the caravan as a way to paint Democratic later Claire McCaskill as unwilling to enforce border controls.
“This is the kind of weakness that invites this chaos, it really invites this national security crisis,” he said on Fox News. “That’s what we can not afford.”
Then. Ted Cruz (R-Tex.) Has gone one step further and kiddes that his democratic opponent wants to be responsible for the caravan.
“There is a caravan currently marching north,” Cruz told supporters Saturday. “I’m just waiting to see Beto O & # 39; Rourke come down and start driving the caravan.”
Rourke on Wednesday condemned that kind of “paranoia and fear” and said it was spread shortly before the election of “A government trying to make us save each other”.
“Do you want to be motivated by fear, paranoia – or are we the big, bold, self-confident country that I feel we are?” He said.
In some blue and purple states, Democrats have used the President’s focus on the caravan to go to crime. On Tuesday evening, Democrat nominee Jared Polis, at the final debate in Colorado’s Governor Race, took a caravan question as a chance to turn around the unpopular policy of Trump administration to separate immigrant families at the border.
“There is a national emergency, and that’s a case,” said Polis, a Boulder congressman who voted against the separation policy. “It’s an emergency when a 2 year old child is ripped off her mother’s arms and sent thousands of miles away . It’s not who we are like a nation. “
Republican candidate Walker Stapleton asked if caravan members would be” welcome “in Colorado, saying they would not. But he said he would not send the National Guard to the border if it meant separating families and he signaled that he was baking legal status of young immigrants brought to the United States by their parents.
“We have lived in the state of Colorado with the federal government’s failure to solve our immigration problems,” said Stapleton. “I do not support separating families. I support “dreamer”. I support those who contribute to our state. “
Frank Luntz, a veteran republican pollare who has pushed many focus groups with voters, said that both parties misunderstand the nation’s feelings: Democrats underestimate the public’s desire for increased border security while Republicans underestimate their empathy for immigrants and their situation. believe the republicans made a mistake by not focusing on the economy, frankly, “said Luntz.” It can not be so hot a problem, but it has a greater impact on people’s daily lives. I think any disturbance of economic success over the last two years is not good for the Republicans. And it includes immigration and it includes the caravan. “
David Weigel and Scott Clement contributed to this report.