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NASCAR at Phoenix odds, picks 2019: Model says Kyle Larson surprises at TicketGuardian 500

Sunday's 2019 TicketGuardian 500 promises plenty of excitement for NASCAR fans everywhere. Last year, Kevin Harvick claimed the checkered flag and jump-started his dominant season that saw him record eight victories. Now, he'll look to defend his title at the 2019 NASCAR at the Phoenix race, which gets underway at 3:30 pm. ET from ISM Raceway. Harvick is the Vegas favorite at 9-4 in the latest 201 9 TicketGuardian 500 odds. Meanwhile, Kyle Busch (7-2), Brad Keselowski (7-1), Joey Logano (8-1) and Martin Truex Jr. (10-1) are all going to be 10-1 or lower. Ryan Blaney, who won the NASCAR at Phoenix pole, is at 16-1 after opening at 30-1. This year's lineup consists of an extremely talented field of drivers, so before you make any 2019 TicketGuardian 500 picks, enter a daily Fantasy NASCAR tournament on sites like FanDuel and DraftKings, be sure to check out the latest 2019 NASCAR at the Phoenix projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine Developed by DFS pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking factors such as track history and recent results into account. It made some huge calls in NASCAR last year, including correctly projecting wins for Kyle Busch at Chicago and Martin Truex Jr. at Sonoma. And it's off to a strong start in NASCAR this year, calling Daytona 500 champion Denny Hamlin a top four contender and nailing eight of the top 10 drivers at…

Sunday’s 2019 TicketGuardian 500 promises plenty of excitement for NASCAR fans everywhere. Last year, Kevin Harvick claimed the checkered flag and jump-started his dominant season that saw him record eight victories. Now, he’ll look to defend his title at the 2019 NASCAR at the Phoenix race, which gets underway at 3:30 pm. ET from ISM Raceway. Harvick is the Vegas favorite at 9-4 in the latest 201

9 TicketGuardian 500 odds. Meanwhile, Kyle Busch (7-2), Brad Keselowski (7-1), Joey Logano (8-1) and Martin Truex Jr. (10-1) are all going to be 10-1 or lower. Ryan Blaney, who won the NASCAR at Phoenix pole, is at 16-1 after opening at 30-1. This year’s lineup consists of an extremely talented field of drivers, so before you make any 2019 TicketGuardian 500 picks, enter a daily Fantasy NASCAR tournament on sites like FanDuel and DraftKings, be sure to check out the latest 2019 NASCAR at the Phoenix projected leaderboard from the proven computer model at SportsLine

Developed by DFS pro and SportsLine predictive data engineer Mike McClure, this proprietary NASCAR prediction computer model simulates every race 10,000 times, taking factors such as track history and recent results into account.

It made some huge calls in NASCAR last year, including correctly projecting wins for Kyle Busch at Chicago and Martin Truex Jr. at Sonoma. And it’s off to a strong start in NASCAR this year, calling Daytona 500 champion Denny Hamlin a top four contender and nailing eight of the top 10 drivers at last week’s Pennzoil 400, which included putting winner Joey Logano in its projected top five. Anybody who has followed its picks is way up.

McClure, who has a mechanical engineering degree, grew up around race tracks. Big events at iconic venues like ISM Raceway are in his blood. His model has now simulated Sunday’s 2019 NASCAR at Phoenix race 10,000 times and the results were surprising.

For the 2019 TicketGuardian 500, you can see that the model is high on Kyle Larson, who makes a strong run at the checkered flag despite going off as a long shot at 20-1 NASCAR odds. He’s a target for anyone looking for a huge payday.

At 20-1, Larson is getting monumental value at a track where he’s had plenty of success in recent years. In fact, Larson has finished in the top three in his last five starts at ISM Raceway. The Chip Ganassi Racing driver will win his first race at Phoenix

Larson led 142 of the first 224 laps at this year’s QuikTrip 500 in Atlanta and won the first stage. He was seventh at Daytona and closed out last season by cracking the top five in three of his last five races, including Phoenix. He posted the fourth-fastest speed in NASCAR at Phoenix practices on Saturday morning at 137,615 mph. Moreover, one of his four career cup wins came from Richmond’s three-quarters-of-a-mile flat track.

One of the shocking 2019 NASCAR at Phoenix picks from the model: Kevin Harvick, a nine-time winner at ISM Raceway and the top Vegas favorite, makes a strong run but falls short of winning it all.

Harvick has made a career out of getting to the front of the pack consistently at this track. In fact, he has finished in the top 10 in 11 consecutive starts at ISM Raceway.

However, in his last start at Phoenix, he finished in fifth after starting in the pole position and leading for 73 laps. And the sting of not winning in Las Vegas last week after leading 88 laps will be fresh on his mind. Even with his success at Phoenix, there are far better values ​​in this loaded field than the 9-4 premium he’s commanding.

The model is also targeting three other drivers with 2019 TicketGuardian 500 odds of 20-1 or longer to make a serious run winning it all. Anyone who backs these long shots could hit it big.

So who wins the 2019 TicketGuardian 500? And what long shots do NASCAR have? Check out the latest 2019 NASCAR at Phoenix odds below and then visit SportsLine to see the full ticketed leaderboard for the TicketGuardian 500 from the model that has crushed its NASCAR picks.

Kevin Harvick 9-4
Kyle Busch 7-2
Brad Keselowski 7-1
Joey Logano 8-1
Martin Truex Jr. 10-1
Chase Elliott 10-1
Denny Hamlin 15-1
Ryan Blaney 16-1
Kyle Larson 20-1
Aric Almirola 20-1
Clint Bowyer 25- 1
Erik Jones 25-1
Kurt Busch 30-1

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