Free agent outfielder Bryce Harper will be paid. Very. There is no doubt. It's just about how much his next…
Free agent outfielder Bryce Harper will be paid. Very. There is no doubt. It’s just about how much his next contract will be worth.
With deep-fought teams like Yankees and Phillies in view of Harper, we know his contract becomes ridiculous.
His agent, Scott Boras, is said to use the Yankees slugger Giancarlo Stanton’s 13-year contract extension of $ 325 million, which he signed with Miami Marlins in November 2014 as a baseline for Harper’s deal.
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SI’s Emma Baccellieri Project What a Harper Lifetime Agreement Could Cost:
Here is the contract discussed as an opportunity since his brilliant rookie season ̵
1; big money, long-term market moves, record position. Harper has long been expected as a challenger to ink the first $ 400 million deal in baseball history, but hey, $ 500 million was thrown out there too. Think back to the set of players with 20.0 WAR and a 125 OPS + during their first seven seasons. Albert Pujols holds the top with 54.9 WAR – Trout ended a few decades behind him – and Harper can sign a contract like the one he signed in 2012. Angelsnackade Pujols to a 10-year, $ 240 million contract, only the third the deal at the time ever to the top 200 million dollars. By 2018, only mention of that contract is sufficient to send down a cost-conscious backbone. Pujol’s production has collapsed since signing, and his contract feels more than anything as a sharp warning about the risks that a team can face in a free agency.
But Pujol’s results are of course far from the only one. Robinson Cano – 29.3 WAR in his first seven seasons, something above Harper – signed the same terms 2013: 10 years, $ 240 million, with Seattle Mariners. Now halfway through that deal, he continued to perform at a relatively high level, albeit with the expected effects of age and the ugly headlight of a suspension for performance enhancing drugs. It’s hard to say how this will look when everything is said and done – the last half of the deal will always be harder than the first half, to be sure – but so far, Canos has made his fair share to live up to the business standard, to someone can live up to $ 240 million. He has been Seattle’s best player since he arrived, although he has not been able to help them break his playoff drought.
But there is a crucial difference between Pujol’s warning story and Cano’s question mark and Harper’s potential future. Pujols was 31 when he signed his lifetime Cano was 30. Harper is 26. His top performance is theoretically still in front of him, with a hitter’s primary which is usually expected to be somewhere from 26 to 28. If a team is ready to give him say 350 million dollars for 10 years – they will not pay just for half of the aging curve. They will also have their projected peak, which means that this edition of the lifetime agreement would be more likely to pay, and in turn it means that