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Has Trump stopped offshoring? It's hard to tell.

"Big Steel opens and renovates plants across the country. Car companies flow into the United States, including BMW, who just…

“Big Steel opens and renovates plants across the country. Car companies flow into the United States, including BMW, who just announced a big new factory.” USA is booming! “Speaking the president this week.

Well, maybe. But it’s hard to say definitely, because it turns out that offshoring and” reshoring “because the opposite of working back to a country is known – is extremely difficult to measure with some precision.

The answer is, like the Democrats, to oppose Trump’s newly signed substitute for the North American Free Trade Agreement – and as he engages in a slow dance with Chinese leader Xi Jinping and European leaders over a What we know: Manufacturing has recovered since the recession, with employment from 1

1.5 million jobs in 2010 to almost 12.8 million today. This happened for several reasons, including the increase in oil and gas fragmentation, which provides cheap energy and a number of unemployed who are willing to accept lower wage jobs. Employers are also facing greater risks in long gloves bala supply chain and have moved to an “just-in-time” manufacturing strategy that enables distributors to respond quickly to changing customer needs if their factories are on American soil.

But we also know that the trade balance in goods – the difference between what we import and what we export – has continued to increase during the Trump administration and amounted to 77.2 billion in October, from $ 67.7 billion at the beginning of his maturity and second largest gap ever. This means that US consumers and businesses buy more items from abroad that can be manufactured in the United States, such as cars.

“It’s still a two way street,” said Scott Paul, president of the Alliance for American Manufacturing, supported by United Steelworkers Union and Manufacturers. “We still have production who leave the United States, but you also look a bit resilient.”

There is a data source that explicitly measures offshoring: Trade Adjustment Assistance, a federal contribution that since 1975 has been available to workers who lose jobs when companies move work abroad or simply lower production due to competition from cheaper imports. The use of the program spiked during the recession, and then returned to more normal levels.

However, it is still not a perfect goal, as it is also affected by how generous funding the program is and how willing states should certify applications. It is not very useful for real-time measurement because application data is posted with a delay. In addition, it lacks the more gradual operation of production to other countries.

Sometimes it’s easy to tell when a job has offshored, as when the oven and air conditioner Carrier said in 2016 it would move all work in an Indiana facility to Mexico – a plan infamously, if only partially reversed by Trump as presidential election .

 GM workers will have job options - but they may not be as good

But General Motors said this week that it would close five North American plants, plus three others elsewhere in the world, as it shrinks its then business in favor of light trucks and SUVs.

Other companies have likewise cited changed demand patterns. United Technologies is currently dismantling operations at its airline in Chula Vista, California, which it purchased in 2012, which will lead to the loss of more than 300 jobs. The company says that the aircraft’s components that have been made there since the 1950s simply did not sell anymore.

“We have not found anything feasible at that location,” said Stacey MacNeil, communications director for UTC Aerospace Systems, the division that runs the facility.

The union representing the workers says it’s hard to believe that a plant that once employed more than 10,000 workers could shrink to almost nothing for three decades, while Mexico’s aviation industry boomed.

“Company does it all the time,” says Owen Herrnstadt, Chief Legal Officer at the International Association of Machinists. “They outsource work, invest elsewhere, leave some work on programs that end – and then shut down and say that the program ended instead of investing in the US factory in the first place, which could keep US workers employed on new programs.” [19659024] Ohio Senator: Trump said he wants to help & # 39; middle of the closure of genetically modified plants “data-src-mini =” // “data -src-xsmall = “//” data-src-small = “http : // “data-src-medium =” // cnnnext / dam / assets / 181129080327-sen-sherrod-brown-11-29-01-exlarge-169.jpg “data-src-large =” // -sherrod-brown-11-29-01-super-169.jpg “data-src-full16x9 =” // 01-full-169.jpg “data-src-mini1x1 =” // “data -demand-load = “not-loaded” data-eq-pts = “mini: 0, xsmall: 221, small: 308, medium: 461, large: 781” src = “data: image / gif; base64, R0lGODlhEAAJAJEAAAAAAP / ////// wAAACH5BAEAAAIALAAAAAAQAAkAAAIKlI + py + 0P o5yUFQA7 “/>

 Ohio Senator: Trump said he wants to help & # 39; in connection with the closure of GM facilities

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