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Halloween weather forecast a real treat for NJ: dry and mild

Happy Halloween, New Jersey! I dress up as a meteorologist this year. It's a good costume because I get a…

Happy Halloween, New Jersey! I dress up as a meteorologist this year. It’s a good costume because I get a good forecast for both Halloween and Halloween night. (Actually, I climb like a Ghostbuster to match my 3 year old son Jackson who really wanted to be a ghost this year.)

Temperatures on this Wednesday morning are quite a bit cooler than I had expected . The vast majority of New Jersey has fallen into the cold 30’s, so you have to bundle a little to start the day. We will enjoy a lot of sunshine through the morning hours, with a little cloud cover rolling in Wednesday afternoon . High temperatures are expected to reach mid to perhaps over the 60’s across the state. It is 5 to 10 degrees above normal at the end of October.

It may be New Jersey’s warmest Halloween in about 5 years. It may also be New Jersey’s warmest dry Halloween in about 10 years. Nothing spooky or scary about this forecast!

After the sunset (around 6 p.m.) Wednesday night temperatures will fall slowly from the 60s to the 50s. Thermometers will be cured only in the mid 50’s after Thursday morning – not as cool as the last few days. It becomes partly cloudy, quiet and dry overnight.

When we turn the calendar side to November on Thursday the warming continues. High temperatures in the lower 70’s will be closer to record than normal high temperatures. (Although I do not think we really see “record breaking” heat.) Skies are mostly cloudy, and it may be an isolated shower sometime during the day. (The best chance of raindrops will be in Northern Jersey.)

Our next storm system will be a slow moving front complex, which will deliver widely spread showers to New Jersey Thursday night .

Friday looks wet. But at least the latest forecast keeps the temperature on the hot side for another day, in the lower 70’s. Scattered light rain will last through Friday morning . Thereafter, models suggest that a round heavier rain comes Friday evening through Saturday morning . When it does not rain the clouds will remain cloudy. Expect harsh conditions, with a southern wind up to about 20 mph.

When the front finally leaves the garden state around late in the morning of Saturday we probably have a new inch to inch and a half in the rain meter over NJ. Healthy but not heavy – while there may be buttocks of thunder, I’m not too worried about severe weather or flooding.

The inevitable return of cooler air really kickes in Saturday . But as I have announced this is not your Arctic blast brand of cooling. Just a return to “near normal”.

When our weather dries out and our sky cleans out Saturday afternoon a fast northwest wind (at 20 mph) will set the temperatures down. Saturday’s high temperatures are modeled to reach the lower 60’s. Sunday looks sunny, but a little cooler, with heights in the upper 50’s. It is quite close to the seasonal standards in early November.

I know it’s an odd thing to say with ozone-sonic heat in the forecast for the next three days, but this feels like a fallout. Not falling weather, a fall forecast. That means it’s volatile. A little bit of heat, a little chill, a little wind, a little rain. No snow … yet!

Dan Zarrow is Chief Meteorologist for Townsquare Media New Jersey. Follow him on Facebook or Twitter for the latest forecasts and real-time weather updates.

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