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For Trumps 2020 re-election, not all tariffs are created equal

Breaking News Emails Get urgent news alerts and special reports. May 19, 2019, 19:59 UTC By Dante Chinni WASHINGTON – Since his arrival in Washington, President Donald Trump has brought another way to shop, kicking fights with American allies and opponents looking for better deals. But when the 2020 election draws closer, a look at some of the figures does not see that all trade disputes are equal in the nation's electoral chart. Think of law Trump's trade battle with China. Last week, these talks were discussed Another bump in the road that both sides dug a bit deeper. The US raised duties of $ 200 billion of Chinese imports, and the Chinese responded by raising $ 60 billion in US goods tariffs. The impact of war can feel for the US economy, but the American farmers have taken some of the biggest hits the Chinese have raised tariffs on American agricultural products such as corn, wheat and soybeans. These agricultural fees have some very specific goals. Look at the top 10 conditions for crop crop in 2018. Look at the top 10 crop land conditions in 2018. The affected sand goes straight through the heart and a collection of states that were very good for Donald Trump in 2016. All except two of the states on that list, Trump supported the last presidential election. And it's not accidental. The Chinese created a set of tariffs that would damage Trump politically. But the customs influence has led some people to…

Breaking News Emails

Get urgent news alerts and special reports.

By Dante Chinni

WASHINGTON – Since his arrival in Washington, President Donald Trump has brought another way to shop, kicking fights with American allies and opponents looking for better deals. But when the 2020 election draws closer, a look at some of the figures does not see that all trade disputes are equal in the nation’s electoral chart.

Think of law Trump’s trade battle with China.

Last week, these talks were discussed Another bump in the road that both sides dug a bit deeper. The US raised duties of $ 200 billion of Chinese imports, and the Chinese responded by raising $ 60 billion in US goods tariffs.

The impact of war can feel for the US economy, but the American farmers have taken some of the biggest hits the Chinese have raised tariffs on American agricultural products such as corn, wheat and soybeans.

These agricultural fees have some very specific goals. Look at the top 10 conditions for crop crop in 2018.

Look at the top 10 crop land conditions in 2018.

The affected sand goes straight through the heart and a collection of states that were very good for Donald Trump in 2016. All except two of the states on that list, Trump supported the last presidential election.

And it’s not accidental. The Chinese created a set of tariffs that would damage Trump politically. But the customs influence has led some people to question the political wisdom of such a struggle for Trump. How can the president fight a war that hits so directly with his voters?

Part of the answer may be because he doesn’t really have to worry much about them. Their political loyalty looks solid. Look at the results in those states in 2016. Trump won most of them with big margins.

Part of the answer may be because he doesn’t really have to worry much about them. Their political loyalty looks solid. Look at the results in those states in 2016.

The closest states on that list in 2016 were Iowa and Texas and Trump both won 9 percentage points. And some of the states – North Dakota, South Dakota, Nebraska and Kansas – were massive 20-point blowouts.

In other words, even though Trump takes a hit in the states on the list, his 2020 chances are probably not affected too hard. If he wins Kansas with 18 points instead of 20, he still gets the state’s six ballot.

Why are they so safe? The truth is, though everyone is talking about trade and economy, other issues are more important to some voters. Many of these states have a deep vein of cultural conservatism that runs through them. Among the eight states that Trump won on that list, only Iowa (3 times) and Indiana (once) voted for a democratic presidential candidate since 2000.

But not all trade battles are created equally. Think of the news this week about auto tariffs.

On Wednesday, Trump Administration announced that it was delaying a possible 25 percent duty on foreign cars and car parts by up to six months. Autotariffs have aggressively opposed both US and foreign automakers who say the fee could lead to a loss of 700,000 jobs in the United States.

The trump administration can still choose to introduce auto tariffs at a later date, but the more cautious attitude on cars may have something to do with car dealers and vendors are important parts of the states that won the Trump 2016: Wisconsin, Pennsylvania and Michigan.

In each of these states, Trump’s victory margin was less than one percentage point.

In each of these states, Trump’s victory margin was less than one percentage point, and in each state, the number of employees in the auto industry far exceeded the number of votes that gave Trump’s profit.

Simply put, every vote is likely to mean in those states in 2020 and right now Trump has a good re-election argument to do to them.

The workers in these states have had the fruits of a thriving economy under the T backdrop. Unemployment in each is 4 percent or lower – from when Trump took his mandate. And the automotive industry has added 42,000 manufacturing jobs during that period.

But everything that changes the situation can be problematic for the president. Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin are not like Kansas and North Dakota. They have a history of voting democratic in the presidential election. In fact, until 2016, they all voted democratic in every presidential election since 1992.

When the customs fight continues, it is a point to consider.

Trade conflicts can concentrate on financial leverage and better deals, but they are also about politics. And, as 2020 approaches, states affected by a trade dispute may be the same or more important than the contracts Trump Administration has in mind.

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