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Week 13 Preview
Once more. Once again to either enter Fantasy playoffs or strengthen your postseason’s position.
Or more week to hover in pain because your Fantasy season can be over.
For most Fantasy leagues, the playoff starts in week 14, so this is an important period of time. Your Fantasy season may be on the line.
We got very bad news earlier this week with Melvin Gordon’s knee injury, Leonard Fournette suspension and key roleplayers like Marvin Jones (knee), Jack Doyle (kidney) and Andy Dalton (thumb) injured reserve. But everything is not lost.
A.J. Green (toe) and Three Quan Smith (foot) appear ready to play in week 13 after spending the last few weeks. And while guys like Gordon and Fournette are out, the door opens for potential exchanges in Austin Ekeler and T.J. Yeldon, especially in PPR leagues.
There are also plenty of good matchups to utilize, as you read below. And we get the extra bonus of Rams and Chiefs coming from their weeks weeks. It’s nice to get all these stars back to action.
So good luck to everyone in week 13. We hope it’s a good time for you, and your playoff standing improves when you make a final game for a Fantasy championship.
Editor’s Note: Projections are provided by SportsLine.com . Projected points are for PPR leagues.
Start of the Week
This is the second time I have used Chris Carson as Start of the Week in his two-year career. I hope for better luck this time.
The last time was week 4 2017 against Colts, and it was a disaster. Carson suffered a broken leg, and he was lost for the season.
Fortunately, Carson has come back strong in 2018, and he has been Seattle’s best run back despite the team spending a first round on rookie Rashaad Penny. Carson is entering Week 13 against 49ers with at least 12 PPR points in three of his previous four games, and this is a good matchup for him at home.
At first, Seattle is a great favorite in this game against San Francisco. And 49’s defense is in disarray after releasing linebacker Reuben Foster after a domestic casualty.
In week 12 in Tampa Bay, Peyton Barber had 13 PPR points against San Francisco, and Buccaneers did not run the ball nearly as well as the Seahawks.
Carson will lose some points against Penny and Mike Davis, but he is best to run back in a positive situation. And I expect Carson to have a good performance in the match at home.
I start Carson over: Mark Ingram (at DAL), Dalvin Cook (at NE), Sony Michel (vs. MIN), Adrian Peterson (at PHI) and Doug Martin (vs. KC)
- Josh Allen (by MIA): Allen had an excellent game in week 12 against Jacksonville with 27 Fantasy points and he did the majority of his work on the ground with 99 rushing yards and a touchdown. He has the chance of a solid encore in Miami in week 13, and the dolphins have allowed five of the last six opposite quarterbacks to make at least 20 Fantasy points. Everyone is a good sleeper to consider in two-quarterback and super-flex leagues. Everyone has at least seven Fantasy Points with only their rushing in three in three of his five games.
- Case Keenum (at CIN): Keenum made only 19 fantasy points home to Pittsburgh, and this week he gets a good matchup on Cincinnati. Bengal has allowed three touchdowns against opposing quarterbacks in four of the last five matches and the only quarterback who failed to do that was Lamar Jackson in week 11 in his first NFL launch. Keenum is unlikely to come to three touchdowns, but the matchup is worth counting on him as a starter in two-quarterback and super-flex leagues.
- Chase Daniel (on NYG): Daniel is expected to start again in week 13 with Mitchell Trubisky (shoulder) still hurting, and he is someone to consider in two-quarter league leagues. Daniel played good at Week 12 on Thanksgiving against Detroit with 22 Fantasy points, but this is a tough matchup because the giants have held three of the last four opposite quarterbacks to 15 points or less. Still, if Daniel starts again, I expect Matt Nagy to help him find the way to about 18 imagination points along the way.
I like Brady more about Xavier Rhodes (hamstring) is out for the Vikings, but it will still be a tough match for him, even at home. As we said last week with Aaron Rodgers playing in Minnesota, when defensive end Everson Griffen is active for the Vikings, they are tough on opposite quarterbacks. In six matches with Griffen, Minnesota has held Jimmy Garoppolo, Rodgers twice, Drew Brees, Stafford and Trubisky to an average of just 11.8 Fantasy Points per game. Brady has also made more than 17 Fantasy Points only once in his four games. Granted, which came in week 12 at the jets when all of his receiving corps were well. But I would not count on a dominant game from Brady this week, especially if Rhodes can play.
- Dion Lewis and Derrick Henry (vs. NYJ): The Titans would love to have their field play go and this is the perfect match against the jets. In the last five games, they have allowed seven touchdowns to run back and six to win at least 75 total laps. Lewis is safer of the two Tennessee backbones in all leagues, but do not be surprised if Henry makes his voice a week at home.
- Royce Freeman (at CIN): Freeman will need to score points to help your Fantasy roster because Phillip Lindsay has taken over this backfield and is a must-start option in all leagues. But the Bengals are tied to Tampa Bay for most touchdowns may run back by 17. And Freeman has scored in two of his previous three games.
- T. J. Yeldon (vs IND): With Leonard Fournette (suspension) out, Yeldon will get an increase in his hand, and I like him better than Carlos Hyde this week, mainly because of his role in the game passing. He has five matches this season with at least five catches, including week 10 in Indianapolis when Fournette was active. He also has seven matches this season with at least 10 PPR points just by receiving the totals alone. And Colts is No. 2 in NFL in receptions that may run back with 79, followed only Falcons (88).
- Doug Martin (vs. KC): In the last five games with Marshawn Lynch, Martin is an average of 4.8 meters per berry, and he has scored at least 12 PPR points in two of his previous three excursions, although the Raiders falling apart. This week he faces a Chiefs defense that allows the third Fantasy points to oppose backbones. While Jalen Richard has been a quality alternative in PPR leagues throughout the season, you can use both Oakland slopes as flex options in week 13.
- Nyheim Hines (at JAC): We’ll see if Marlon Mack is out for weeks 13 against Jacksonville, but Hines and Jordan Wilkins had to divide the hand in his place. We have watched this show before Mack missed four of the first five games with foot and ankle problems, and Hines was the better option with his work in the appropriate game. Hines had at least 11 PPR points in three of the four matches without Mack. I would use Hines as a flex option in all PPR leagues if Mack is out against the Jaguars, and Wilkins is an alternative in deeper format.
You were lucky if you started Coleman at Week 12 in New Orleans because he made a late receiving touchdown to save a miserable state line. Without touchdown, Coleman finished with only 23 total laps on eight berries for 6 meters, as well as three catches for 17 meters on four goals. While he has five receiving touchdowns in the season, he has only scored once on the ground since week 1, and he continues to share the contact with Ito Smith. Ravens has allowed only seven total touchdowns to run back in the season (five rushes and two recipients), and I’m worried that Coleman sends another, disappointed state line. He has also made 10 PPR points or less in three games in a row. It makes him play as a flex option, but he is not a must-start, even at home, against Ravens.
- Adam Humphries (vs. CAR): Humphries plays well late, and Tampa Bay loses quick opportunities in the match game. OH. Howard (ankle) is out for the season, and DeSean Jackson (thumb) may be out in week 13 against Carolina. It can make Humphries even more valuable and he comes into this game with at least 14 PPR points in four of his last five excursions including a game of monsters against the 9th pledges. He had eight catches for 82 meters and two touchdowns of eight goals in that game, and Carolina has been struggling with slot recipients this season. Humphries is a strong No. 3 recipient alternative in PPR in week 13.
- Chris Conley (at OAK): Conley’s use is dependent on Sammy Watkins (foot) and if he is healthy. If Watkins is expected to play in week 13 in Oakland, ignore Conley in most formats. But if Watkins is out, Conley is an advanced No. 3 Fantasy recipients this week. In Kansas City’s last match at Rams in week 11, Watkins could not play past the first quarter because of his foot injury and Conley went out for seven catches, 74 yards and two touchdowns on eight goals. He is unlikely to replicate this achievement, but Oakland is among the league leaders with 16 touchdowns allowed to recipients. Keep an eye on Watkins, but Conley has plenty of upside about Watkins out there.
- Taylor Gabriel (on NYG): Gabriel has picked up things in the last two games, and he is worth buying back after a new mileage. Gabriel has 17 goals in the last two matches against Minnesota and Detroit, and he has 14 catches for 101 yards across that tip. He has not scored since week 4, but his PPR score is fixed as a # 3 Fantasy receiver. And he was the goalkeeper for Chicago in week 12 against the lion with eight with Chase Daniel at the center, and Daniel is likely to start again instead of Mitchell Trubisky (Axel).
- Bruce Ellington (vs LAR): With Marvin Jones (knee) now out for the season, Ellington is locked in Lions second league behind Kenny Golladay, and he is worth using as No. 3 in the PPR leagues in week 13 against rams In two matches with Detroit, Ellington has 12 catches for 80 meters in 16 goals, with six catches in each game. He has proven to be a reliable, shorter goal for Matthew Stafford, and Ellington should once again be around six prisoners in this match at home.
- Josh Doctson (at PHI): In Colt McCoy’s first start instead of Alex Smith (ankle) at Week 12 in Dallas, he leaned to Doctson, who had six catches for 66 yards in 10 goals and he has now scored at least 12 PPR points in three of their previous four matches. This is an excellent match for trusting Doctson as a definitive number. 3 recipients, because the eagles allow the second most fanciful point to the position, and you can also consider Trey Quinn a sleeper this week as well.
Boyd will benefit from AJ Green (toe) expected to return this week, but he also downgraded quarterbacks with Jeff Driskel starting. Now Green is still worth using as a # 2 Fantasy receiver, but Boyd is more a No. 3 option. Driskel joined Boyd for a 28-yard touchdown in week 12 against Cleveland after Andy Dalton (the thumb) was injured, but Boyd could see a lot of coverage from Denver cornerback Chris Harris in week 13 of the castle. Let’s hope Driskel will continue to play Green and Boyd on a high level, but I downgrade Boyd this week considering the quarterback change and probably the match with Harris.
- Chris Herndon (at TEN): Herndon had another sunny trip in week 12 against the patriots with seven catches for 57 meters in eight goals and he now has a score of at least 10 PPR scores in four of his past six matches, with three touchdowns over this team. He does not have an easy match in week 13 in Tennessee, but Herndon is still worth using in deeper leagues as a streaming option.
- Gerald Everett (on DET): The last time we saw Everett was in Week 11 against Kansas City in the first game without Cooper Cup (ACL) since losing for the season. Everett and Tyler Higbee played both well, but Everett had the bigger game with three catches for 49 yards and two touchdowns on four goals (Higbee dropped six catches for 63 meters in seven goals). Both are potential sleepers this week, but I like Everett better in view of his great play ability. In week 13 in Detroit, both Ram’s tight ends are worth using as streaming alternatives.
- Jon Smith (vs. NYJ): Smith has been on the roll for the last four matches and appears as number 2 in Tennessee receiving corps behind Corey Davis. Smith has at least 10 PPR points in four games in a row, and he has made a touchdown in three of his last four outings. He faces a Jets defense that has only allowed four touchdowns to tighten this season, but Smith is playing a high level late and is worth using as a low starter in week 13.
Cook is only listed here with the chance that manager Eric Berry (heel) can play this week. If Berry stays out, consider boiling a safe start, but Berry has been a weary rubber during his career. Cook has played well late with five catches for 63 meters and two touchdowns of 11 goals in his previous two matches against Arizona and Baltimore, but I would be hesitant to start him in a match against Berry.
Defense / Special Law
Seahawks (vs. SF) – 9.3 Projected Points
49ers play a second consecutive road race this week in Seattle and Nick Mullens looked like a third string back in week 12 in Tampa Bay. Buccaneers had four sacks and two interceptions, and Mullens has now threw four interceptions in his last two games.
- Chiefs (at OAK): The Raiders have scored 17 points in three of the last four matches, and Oakland has allowed 19 sacks in the last four trips. With Berry potentially back to Kansas City, Chiefs DST is a must play in week 13.
- Broncos (at CIN): A.J. Greens return hurts the Broncos DST a bit, but before Jeff Driskel it’s still a bonus. Cincinnati has allowed more sacks in all but three matches this season, and Von Miller and Bradley Chubb should make Driskel uncomfortable in his pocket.
- Titans (vs. NYJ): Jetsna has allowed nine sacks in his last three games, and you have seven interceptions over this tip. We are watching Sam Darnold (foot) or Josh McCown starting this week, but somehow Titans DST is a good option in all formats.
Sit & Em;
Chargers (at PIT) – 7.0 projected points
Chargers DST had a good distance for once with at least 10 Fantasy points in three of the last four matches. But this is no time to trust chargers DST in Pittsburgh. The Steelers is on average 35.4 points home this year, and Ben Roethlisberger has only four sacks and three interceptions in these games.
McManus has combined for just 12 Fantasy points in his previous two matches, but he is due to a great outing, which should happen this week. Bengal is No. 4 in fantasy points allowed to oppose kickers, and five of the last six kickers against Cincinnati have made at least eight fantasy points.
- Sebastian Janikowski (against SF): 49ers have allowed two field goals and three extra points against opposing kickers in the last two matches and six kickers have scored several field goals against San Francisco this season.
- Ryan Succop (vs NYJ): Succop made 10 fantasy points in his previous home game in week 10 against New England, and the jets have allowed six field goals in the last three games against Miami, Buffalo and the Patriots.
- Cody Parkey (on NYG): The giants allow most fantasy points to opposing kickers and three of the last five kicks against the giants have made at least three field goals. Parkey has two games in his past four outings with at least 11 Fantasy Points.
Sit & Em;
Bailey has been a disappointing kicker late with six Fantasy Points or less in four consecutive matches. He missed only two field goals at home against Green Bay in week 12 and the patriots have allowed only one kicker to make more than seven fantasy points against them in the last five games.
So who are you going to sit and start? And what shocking back can win you week 13? Visit SportsLine now to get Fantasy Football’s rankings for each individual position and see what shocking RB finishes in the top 10 this week, all from the model that performed experts big time last season.