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More week 12
We do not need a long introduction this week. They tend to be boring yet when you just want to get into the start and sit.
But given that it’s Thanksgiving week, I would just like to thank everyone reading this. On behalf of my colleagues on all of our Fantasy Football Today programs, we appreciate you.
Enjoy Thanksgiving Day with your families. And good luck with your matchups in week 1
Now, let’s see who you might start and sit in this important period of time, with Fantasy playoffs just around the corner.
Editor’s Note: Projections are provided by SportsLine.com. Projected points are for PPR leagues.
Start of the Week
It took some time, but those who are patient with Marlon Mack have been rewarded on a major road. He has become a standout fantasy dating since mid-October.
Mack started the season handling foot and ankle problems, and he appeared in just one game before week 6. But then things started to click for him, and he has been good for most five games.
Mack has over three games with at least 13 PPR points. He is on average 5.0 meters per game for the season and has five total touchdowns. More importantly, in what was expected to be a crowded backfield with rookie Nyheim Hines and Jordan Wilkins, Mack has at least 17 total touches in three of his previous four games.
This week, Mack gets a favorable match against the dolphins at home. Miami has allowed to run back to score in all but one game this season, which was Week 9 against the jets. And for the year, 11 backs have either made or won at least 100 total laps against this defense.
The latest example was Aaron Jones in week 10 when he had 15 bears 145 meters and two touchdowns, along with three prisoners for 27 meters against Miami, and I’m hoping Mack has a similar outing this week. I like him as No. 1 that goes back in all leagues.
I start Mack over: Joe Mixon (vs CLE), Mark Ingram (no), Phillip Lindsay (against PIT), Chris Carson (CAR) and Adrian Peterson DAL)
- Lamar Jackson (vs OAK): We are still waiting to find out if Jackson will remain the starter before Joe Flacco (hip), but if it happens as expected, consider Jackson a good one streaming options this week. He had 27 berries for 117 meters in Week 11 against Cincinnati and finished 13 of 19 passes for 150 meters with interceptions. The Raidersna should be an easy match for him, especially playing on the East Coast at 1 pm. Start, and it would not be a surprise to see Jackson have a breakout game.
- Baker Mayfield (at CIN): Mayfield entered the city in week 11 on a nice role as a Fantasy quarterback. He made at least 21 Fantasy points in three of his previous four games, including a season-best 28 points in week 10 against Atlanta. This week he gets another favorable matchup against Cincinnati, which means that most Fantasy points can oppose quarterbacks for the season at 27.2. Only two quarterbacks this season have failed to make at least 22 Fantasy points against Bengal.
- Andy Dalton (vs CLE): We hope Bengal gets A.J. Green (toe) back for this game, which obviously helps Dalton’s perspective. And he played well in week 11 in Baltimore with 22 Fantasy points in a tough matchup on the road without Green. In his past five matches against Browns, Dalton has 12 matching touchdowns and no interceptions, and on average, he’s 25.6 Fantasy points against Cleveland. This is another Brown’s defense than in previous years, but three quarterbacks in a row have made at least 20 Fantasy points against them.
I do not think you have to bench Rodgers in most leagues, but I do not expect him to have a big game against the folds. For starters, Rodgers has been mediocre on the late road, an average of 21.3 Fantasy Points in three games at Rams, Patriots and Seahawks. He was dismissed nine times in the matches, and he took four sacks against Minnesota in week 2, which was his first match to play with his injured knee. He made only 17 imagination points in that trip, but the vikings have been tough against opposite quarterbacks when defensive end Everson Griffen has been on the field. In five matches with Griffen, Minnesota has held Jimmy Garoppolo, Rodgers, Drew Brees, Stafford and Trubisky an average of just 11.6 Fantasy Points per game, with Rodgers scoring the highest score. I’m hopeful Rodgers is playing well this week, but I’m skeptical about matchup.
- Jalen Richard (at BAL): Doug Martin (ankle) is expected to play this week, but Richard will still have plenty of playing time. And he is a good flex alternative in PPR. He has made at least 10 PPR points in all but three matches this season. He could also be more involved in the fitting game now when Brandon LaFell (Achilles) is out and Jordy Nelson (knee) turns up. Riddick will receive further work this week against Bears with Kerryon Johnson (knee) out, and he is a good flex alternative in PPR. He has been mainly a recipient for the last three games since Golden Tate was traded to Philadelphia, and he has 18 catches for 126 yards on 22 goals over that tip. It’s not an easy match against Bears, but he had six catches for 60 yards on seven goals at Chicago in week 10. A similar performance can happen on Thanksgiving Day.
- Peyton Barber (vs SF): Barber took advantage of a good match against the giants last week with 18 berries for 106 meters and one touchdown, as well as two catches for 4 meters, and he is worth using as a flex alternative to 49ers. His three best games this year have come with Jameis Winston on the field (Week 6 against Atlanta, week 8 against Cincinnati and last week), and hopefully it will continue against 49ers.
- Elijah McGuire (vs. NE): McGuire has taken over the injured Bilal Powell (neck), and he could play a prominent role in the fitting game this week against the patriots. In two games, McGuire has six catches for 64 meters in 11 goals, and is also an average of 4.6 meters per berry. New England has been struggling with fitting jumps this year, and I like McGuire as a flex alternative in PPR.
- Duke Johnson (at CIN): In two games since Freddie Kitchens took over as an offensive coordinator, Johnson has at least 14 PPR points in each trip. He has four berries for 23 meters, along with 13 catches for 109 meters and three touchdowns over that span. He also has at least four catches in four of his last five matches, and he is worth to start in PPR this week against Bengals, which allows most Fantasy points to oppose backbones. Nick Chubb, if you did not know, is a must-start option in all leagues this week.
Peterson scored twice in Week 11 against Houston, which was good, but his rushing statistics have been late because of the damage along Washington’s offensive line. In his past three matches against Atlanta, Tampa Bay and Houston, Peterson has 44 for 136 meters (3 meters per berry) and only the two points against the Texans. He also has only five catches for 17 meters over that time. Dallas is the top 10 in the farthest Fantasy points to run back, and only four backs have scored on the field against Cowboys this year, including just one in the last six games. Peterson is still a flex option in most leagues, but I would be careful if you think he must start running back in the week.
- Keke Coutee (vs TEN): After having been out the last two games with a hamstring injury, Coutee returned in week 11 in Washington and led the team in goal (nine) and reception centers (77). De André Hopkins is clearly the No. 1 option in this game, but Coutee is No. 2 in front of Demaryius Thomas. And this is a good match against the Titans, which has enabled 13 recipients to either score or win at least 100 meters this year.
- Danny Amendola (on IND): Amendola should get hot and get away from Miami’s bye in week 11 and he is a good alternative in PPR leagues. He has made at least 13 PPR points in four of his five matches, and he has at least five catches in each match over this tip. DeVante Parker (shoulder) could be out again for the dolphins, who also lost Jakeem Grant (legs) and Albert Wilson (hip) for the season. With Miami likely chasing points in Indianapolis, look for Amendola to see 10 plus goals that have happened twice during the last five trips. He is a big No. 3 recipient in PPR leagues a week.
- Adam Humphries (vs SF): Humphries has made at least 14 PPR points in three of his previous four games, with three touchdowns over that tip. You know Buccaneers will throw the ball all over the game, and Humphries can take advantage of some additional goals with O.J. Howard (outset) out. 49ers only got three touchdowns to Giant’s recipients in week 10.
- Bruce Ellington (vs CHI): With Golden Tate trafficking to Philadelphia and Jones (knee) wounded, the lion needs help in the matching match behind Golladay and Theo Riddick. Ellington played well in Carolina’s 11 against Carolina with six catches for 52 yards in nine goals, and he could be needed again with Jones still stopping up. You only want to use Ellington in deep PPR leagues in week 12 against Chicago, but he may be needed with Detroit, who can chase points, even at home.
- Marquise Goodwin (at TB): Goodwin has made at least 10 PPR points to three of his five matches and hopefully he utilizes this matchup with Buccaneers. Tampa Bay allows the third Fantasy points to the opposite recipients, and Goodwin may be a low-end no. 3 recipients in most leagues. There have been 17 recipients to either score or win at least 100 receiving laps against Buccaneers this year.
I would not be surprised if Robinson has a big game this week, like Anthony Miller and Taylor Gabriel. But I would not be shocked if they all fought because Mitchell Trubisky (the shoulder) is out leaving Chase Daniel who starts. Last week Chicago played Detroit in week 10, Robinson (six catches for 133 yards and two touchdowns on eight goals), and Miller (five inmates for 122 meters and a touchdown of six goals) went out, the Lions back Darrius Slay should be looking for that game. With Slay expected back – he’s still struggling with a knee injury – and the quarterback change for Bears, you should call back your expectations on Robinson on Thanksgiving Day. He is still worth using as a # 3 Fantasy receiver, but I’m nervous about his outlook without Trubisky.
- Benjamin Watson (vs ATL): Watson has had a number of weeks in the week 12 with a combined Fantasy score against Cincinnati and Philadelphia in over two matches, although he missed points twice against Bengals in week 10. Nevertheless, I go back to Watson this week and he had five catches for 71 meters at Atlanta in week 3. He is a good flowing alternative in this matchup home.
- Chris Herndon (vs. NE): I’m hopeful that Sam Darnold (foot) will be back this week for the jets because it will help Herndon’s Fantasy outlook. In four matches before week 10 when Darnold was out to Buffalo, Herndon had at least 10 PPR points in three of these excursions. He made three touchdowns over that thrill, and Herndon may be the most reliable option in this game. New England is also linked to others with Jacksonville, with most touchdowns finishing seven.
- Jeff Heuerman (against PIT): Heuerman did not have a good game on ladder in week 11 with only four catches for 20 yards in five goals, but I’m not enough yet. He did in the previous two games, and he should continue to be a top goal in this Denver crime. The Steelers has allowed five tight ends this year to either get or win at least 70 receiving laps, and Heuerman is a good flowing option during week 12.
Engram has scored eight PPR points in followed games against San Francisco and Tampa Bay, but he is combined for only six catches for 112 meters and no touchdowns over that range of seven goals. He has played once in his past four matches, and the eagles have been good at tight ending the entire season. Just two tight ends have written against Philadelphia this year, with Howard in week 2 and Greg Olsen in week 7, and Engram is just a borderline starting at best in this matchup on the road.
Defenses / Special Teams
Patriots (at NYJ) – 13.6 projected points
Patriots are fired by a big match against the jets that made 10 points or less in three games in a row. We’ll see if Darnold can return to action, but Patriot’s DST is in play if Josh McCown begins too. Jets has allowed 24 sacks for the season and has six interceptions in his last two games. And in two outings against AFC East foes this season (Miami in week 4 and Buffalo in week 8), Patriot’s DST made a combined 33 Fantasy points.
- Cowboys (vs. WAS): Washington has allowed 11 bags in the last three games, and the offensive line and quarterback problems make Dallas DST a strong sleeper a week. Washington has also scored 21 points or less in five games in a row.
- Bills (vs JAC): The Jaguars have scored 18 points or less in five of their six matches and they have allowed at least three bags in six games this year. Bill’s DST also made 13 Fantasy points in their last match of the week 10 on the jets, with two interceptions and three sacks in the match.
- Colts (vs MIA): We’ll see how the dolphins do Ryan Tannehill (shoulder) back after spending the last five games, but Colts DST has scanned at least 15 Fantasy Points in two of his previous three teams . Miami has allowed 10 bags in the last two games, and the dolphins have made a combined 25 points in their last two games against jets and packers.
Panthers (vs. SEA) – 6.8 projected points
I thought the Panthers DST would work well in week 11 in Detroit, but I had wrong. The pants only allowed 20 points but only got one sack and no turnover. Carolina has now been out of business in two consecutive games, has only two sacks over that thrill and has allowed 72 total points to Steelers and Lions. Seattle has allowed 11 sacks in the last three games, but Wilson has no cuts in his last two games, as the team has scored 58 total points against Rams and Packers.
I was wrong with Fairbairn last week when he had 13 Fantasy points in Washington. He scored three field goals and two extra points, including a 54-yard park. He has scored at least 10 Fantasy points in five of his over eight games and has only two excursions with less than eight points.
- Dan Bailey (vs. GB): The wikes had Daniel Carlson at the kicker in the first game against Packers, and he was terrible with three missed field goals in an overtime slice. Bailey should do better in the rematch, and Green Bay has allowed six field goals in the last two matches against Sebastian Janikowski and Jason Sanders.
- Matt Bryant (NO): Bryant had a big performance against Dallas in week 11 in his first match after three matches with a hamstring injury. He made 17 Fantasy points behind four field goals and an extra score, including a 53-yard park. He scored just three extra points against the Saints in week 3, but he has made at least 13 Fantasy Points in each of his previous three home matches this year.
- Josh Lambo (at BUF): Lambo has been good before three games for the Jaguar, and you should plan to start him in all leagues a week against the bills. He has nine field goals over that stretch and has made at least 10 fantasy points in every trip to Philadelphia, Indianapolis and Pittsburgh. Buffalo has allowed two of the last three opposing kickers to make at least 11 Fantasy Points.
Sit & Em;
Succop made just five Fantasy points in week 11 in Indianapolis and has been held to single numbers in four points of his past five matches. He had nine fantasy points against Houston in week 2, but it’s hard to trust him this week if Mariota is out. The Texans have also allowed only one kicker to do multiple field targets against them in the last four matches.
So who are you going to sit and start? And what shocking QB could win you week 12? Visit SportsLine now to get Fantasy football rankings for each individual position and see what shocking QB finishes in the top 10 of the week, ranging from the model as expert experts to great time last season.