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Don't underestimate Biden's base

A nd like that, Joe Biden has officially entered the 2020 bloodbath. Leading the pack by ten points, the forms vice president faces fire from every angle. He is a relative of the Obama era and one with working class and Rust Belt appeal. Naturally, the knives are out for Biden. Fellow septuagenarian Sen. Bernie Sanders, I-Vt., And the socialist camp have already begun to frame Biden as an echo or antiquated fire of politics. The rest of the left are pushing for a shinier, more intersectional candidate. Biden's a machine with two failed presidential bids in his suit. Despite all these supposed negatives, you'd have to write off the power of his base. Looking at the raw polling, Biden is in a league of his own. His Real Clear Politics average hasn't dipped below 26%. Bernie has not been able to get more than 6.8 percentage points to him and has spent most of the race around ten points down. And that was before Biden even announced. [embedded content] Three out of four Democrats find Biden favorable, more than any other candidate in the race. Just 15% find him unfavorable, compared to 22% of Democrats who find Bernie unfavorable. Even across the aisle, Biden is faring well. The majority of all Americans still find Biden favorable. By contrast, this stage in her campaign, only around four in Americans found Hillary Clinton likable enough. Biden's base is not only solid, but also of vital demographics. The media recently went all…

A nd like that, Joe Biden has officially entered the 2020 bloodbath. Leading the pack by ten points, the forms vice president faces fire from every angle. He is a relative of the Obama era and one with working class and Rust Belt appeal. Naturally, the knives are out for Biden.

Fellow septuagenarian Sen. Bernie Sanders, I-Vt., And the socialist camp have already begun to frame Biden as an echo or antiquated fire of politics. The rest of the left are pushing for a shinier, more intersectional candidate. Biden’s a machine with two failed presidential bids in his suit.

Despite all these supposed negatives, you’d have to write off the power of his base.

Looking at the raw polling, Biden is in a league of his own. His Real Clear Politics average hasn’t dipped below 26%. Bernie has not been able to get more than 6.8 percentage points to him and has spent most of the race around ten points down.

And that was before Biden even announced.

Three out of four Democrats find Biden favorable, more than any other candidate in the race. Just 15% find him unfavorable, compared to 22% of Democrats who find Bernie unfavorable.

Even across the aisle, Biden is faring well. The majority of all Americans still find Biden favorable. By contrast, this stage in her campaign, only around four in Americans found Hillary Clinton likable enough.

Biden’s base is not only solid, but also of vital demographics.

The media recently went all in on pushing Biden’s behavior with women as problematic. From the first “allegation” to now, Biden’s RCP average dropped by just 0.3 percentage points. In a new Reuters / Ipsos poll, Biden takes a quarter of the vote, with Bernie earning just 15%. 63% of all Americans polled had a favorable opinion of Biden as opposed to just 44% who find President Trump favorable.

But more important than how many support Biden is who supports him. With that, Uncle Joe’s hit jackpot.

Biden consistently earns high levels of support from older and African Americans, both key demographics for winning the Democratic primary. Biden has the highest favorability among non-white primary voters, and four in African Americans say they would vote for him. In addition, one-third of adults older than 55 back Biden, a key demographic in voter turnout.

Biden may very well botch this. Every day will be a battle going forward, seeing as he’s the single candidate whose demise would benefit the entire field. But at this stage, I wouldn’t bet against Uncle Joe. Function (f, b, e, v, n, t, s) {if (f.fbq) return; n = f.fbq = function () {n.callMethod?
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