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Democrats need 23 seats to gain control over the house

CLOSE A new US TODAY / Suffolk University poll reveals what really is about voters entering the Nomination Committee in…

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A new US TODAY / Suffolk University poll reveals what really is about voters entering the Nomination Committee in November.
USA TIME DAY

WASHINGTON – Democrats got two chairs in early Tuesday – extinction of a Former Republican representative in Virginia and gaining an open seat in Florida held by a retired GOP legislator.

In Virginia, Democrat Jennifer Wexton, a state senator and former prosecutor for domestic violence, toppled the existing GOP Rep. Barbara Comstock. Comstock tried to resign from President Donald Trump, but she fell in a well-developed suburban district which has become a revolutionary democratic. Hillary Clinton won in 2016 by 10 percentage points, and political handicapped people expected Comstock to lose.

In Florida, former healthcare secretary Donna Shalala, a Democrat, wrote a victory in Florida’s 27th district. Shalala hit one of GOP’s star rocks, former Spanish-language missionary journalist Maria Elvira Salazar, in a quiet Spanish district. Democrats directed the seat after the long-standing commanded GOP Rep. Ileana Ros-Lehtinen decided to retire.

These early results came in the high fight to fight the house. Placement in the election day showed that the election of dozens of congresses across the country showed that they were too close to call. Democrats had a slight advantage of winning a majority of households, according to recent polls, but the final outcome was unpredictable.

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“We will win tonight,” told republic Nancy Pelosi, parliament’s democratic leader in an interview on Tuesday evening with PBS NewsHour.

Also speaking to PBS, Ronna Romney McDaniel, President of the Republican National Committee, said it could be a “hard night” but expressed the hope that the GOP could hold its majority.

Democrats need to get a net of 23 seats to break control of the House from the Republicans. The battle stretched across the country – with more than 70 highly contested races from New Jersey to California.

At stake: President Donald Trump’s agenda for the next two years. If the Democrats win a majority, they can use the aggressive monitoring powers of Congress to demand Trump’s return, judge its cabinet members, and investigate alleged corruption over the executive branch. And they can block the president’s legislative priorities, whether it’s funding for a wall along the US-Mexico border or limiting rights programs.

If the Republicans remain in force, Trump will be able to pursue a comprehensive conservative agenda over the next two years – including hard immigration policy, repeal of the law on pricing and nixing environmental regulations.

The president’s party usually loses seats in the middle of the election. In 2006, President George W. Bush called the election result “a dunkling” when his party lost 30 seats and six senate seats, which left control over both chambers to the Democrats and initiated the first woman’s speaker, Nancy Pelosi. President Barack Obama called a “shellacking” in 2010 when the Democrats lost 63 seats – and control over the Chamber – and six senate meetings of the Tea Party Movement

Tuesday’s results will also set the 2020 campaign for the 2020 campaign. A GOP victory in this election would put Trump in a strong position to win a second term and cement its control over the Republican party. A democratic victory would drive the so-called liberal “resistance” and bend a party still grappling with Trump’s surprise win in 2016.

Trump spent the last days of the 2018 campaign that escalated its anti-immigrant rhetoric and portrayed the Democrats as soft on immigration. He promised to close the border with Mexico, claiming that a caravan of migrants included unknown “Middle Easterners” and threatened to build “tent towns” to block people from entering the country.

Democrats said that Trump used fear of motivating GOP voters. They channeled a lot of their energy and advertising dollars to talk about healthcare – blow Republican for their efforts to abolish the reasonable care team and remove protection for people with existing conditions.

These themes were on the voters’ minds when they went to the polls, according to a Washington Post-Schar school survey conducted Monday and Tuesday in battlefield districts across the country.

The survey showed that 44 percent of the voters said that care was the most important factor in voting, while 43 percent said that Trump was the best problem to make its decision. Immigration and the economy ranked about 10 percentage points lower, Post-Schar data shows.

The first instructions on whether Tuesday will bring a blue wave, a red or no one, will start appearing after polls close to the central east coast and the interstate, starting after 6 o’clock Eastern Standard Time. But the full results will not be available until midnight or later, as the voters in California and other Western states end their vote.

With dozens of harsh races that go down to the wire, the constituency battle can also extend in days, with stories possible across the country. Here are important contests to watch:

More: What’s at stake in the middle? Both sides warn for the future of our democracy is in danger

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Early Indications in East

Virginia’s 7th District Virginia’s 7th District ]

] In Virginia’s 7th Congressional District, the rep. Dave Brat a big uprising in 2014 when he then diverted GOP Majority Leader Eric Cantor. Brat is now a member of the hard House Freedom Caucus. This election faces the former CIA official Abigail Spanberger, and the competition is surprisingly competitive in a district that has been reliably red.

President Donald Trump holds this place by 7 percentage points in 2016, so if Spanberger wins, which portends a good night for Democrats, “said Dave Wasserman, House Editor of the Non-Party Cook Policy Report. He said this competition is one of the best early bellwethers for how well the Democrats are playing on Tuesday.

New Jersey’s Third and 7th District

There are a handful of GOP-held places that are now competitive across the state. But the two most vulnerable Republicans are Rep. Tom MacArthur (in New Jersey’s third district) and Rep. Leonard Lance (in the 7th State). MacArthur helped write the Obamacare cancellation bill, which has proved to be a negative for House Republicans. MacArthur also voted for the GOP-led tax cuts, which his national New Jersey Republicans, and even the state chambers of commerce, said would harm the state.

Florida’s 26th and 27th District

There are two contests in Florida that will test the electoral power of moderate Republicans in the swing district. Rope. Carlos Curbelo has a strong brand as a centrist republican willing to speak to the president, but it is not clear if it will be enough for him to stick to Florida’s 26th Congressional District, which Democratic presidential Hillary Clinton won 16 points. He runs against the former associate dean of Florida International University Debbie Mucarsel-Powell. Florida’s 27th Congressional District is up to the ceiling because GOP Rep. Ileana Ros-Lehtinen decided to retire. The district is strongly Latin American but former health secretary Donna Shalala, the Democrat, does not speak Spanish. At the same time, the Republicans landed a top recruitment with former missionary journalist Maria Elvira Salazar. Clinton won the district by 20 percentage points in 2016.

West Virginia 3rd District

If this district turns blue, it is likely that it will be a very, very good night for Democrats. Trump won the district by 73 percentage points, but the GOP that lies here draws away, making the competition more competitive. The Democratic State since Richard Ojeda (a former Trump voter) could win a victory here of pure personality. He is a retired Army Paratrooper who served in Iraq and Afghanistan, released his mobile number in one of his promotional videos and promised not to support California Rep. Nancy Pelosi as speaker. State delegate Carol Miller, a bison and social conservative, runs like a trumpet-style republican, promising to “cut the bull” in Washington.

Midwestern Communications

Michigan 8th District

] Trump barred this district by 7 percentage points. Rope. Mike Bishop has represented the district, located on the edge of Detroit’s suburbs, in one way or another in the past 20 years. But this year it is considered to be a throw up. Bishop’s democratic opponent, Elissa Slotkin, is a former defense chief of the Obama administration. Minnesota 19th and 8th District

Minnesota 1st and 8th Congressional Districts are both open democratic sites that went to Trump with double digits 2016, that is, two GOP pickup opportunities in an otherwise difficult climate for republicans.

The 8th district is likely to go to the GOP candidate. But the 1st district is a true throw up. It is an agricultural heavy region hit hard by Trump administration tariffs, so it will be a good test of how the president’s trade policy plays in agricultural land – and if Trump is still popular in the select segment.

Kentucky 6th District

This district includes Lexington and Frankfurt and should not be competitive. Trump won it by 15 percentage points in 2016. But GOP Rep. Andy Barr faces a tough challenge from Democrat Amy McGrath, a former Navy pilot who has challenged Republican and Democratic institutions. McGrath has attracted her viral television ads, including one that showed her 89 combat missions and noted that she had been told by a congressman at the age of 13 that women could not earn a fight.

Kansas 3rd District

This was a squeaker district in 2016, with Clinton winning here with just over 1 percentage point and Republican rep. Kevin Yoder snagging another term. This time, Yoder has been cut off from his party’s campaign wing because GOP sees the race as a lost thing. Democrat Sharice Davids, a lawyer and former martial arts fighter, is likely to win this place, including the Kansas City suburbs. She will also make history as an open gay Indian.

Iowa 1st and 3rd District

In Iowa’s 1st Congressional District, a blast protection seat is currently represented by Freedom Caucus Rep. Rod Blum. Democrat Abby Finkenauer, a 29-year-old government representative, drives towards Blum and emphasizes her working class roots. Blum is a businessman-turned politician who can face a backlash of president’s tariffs. Trump won both 1st and 3rd congress districts by almost 4 percentage points. In the third district is GOP Rep. David Young faces a challenge from small entrepreneur Cindy Axne. The third district contains Des Moines and Council Bluffs and has as many registered Republicans, Democrats and Unaffiliated, so this competition will affect independent voters.

Signals from South

Texas 7th and 32th District

These rich, educated districts in Texas have long been held by GOP, but both went narrow to Clinton in 2016, with less than 2 percentage points each. Republican Republic John Culberson, representing Houston, is challenged by Democratic lawyer Lizzie Pannill Fletcher. GOP Rep. The Pete Session district includes Dallas suburbs, where he faces Colin Allred, a civil law attorney and former players for NFL’s Tennessee Titans. Sessions have not met a competitive competition this year, but the Republican stalwarten is now considered to be the most exposed GOP congress in Texas.

Confirmation from the coast

Nevada 3rd District

This is one of a handful of open democratic sites that went to Trump 2016, but only by 1 percentage point. With the ruling democrat Jacky Rosen’s decision to run for the Senate, it is one of a few GOP pickup opportunities this year. Republican businessman Danny Tarkanian almost won the district in 2016, and he supported the president in his bid against Democrat Susie Lee, a philanthropist.

California’s 25th, 39th, 45th, 48th and 49th districts

On the west coast, Democrats see a golden opportunity to reverse several sites that have long been Republican headquarters. The 39th district is open after Foreign Relations Chair Rep. Ed Royce decided to retire. His former aide and former united statesman Young Kim hope to take their place. But she faces competition from lottery lovers and Democrat Gil Cisneros. California’s 49 district is open after rep. Darrell Issa, former chairman of the House Oversight Committee, said he would not seek re-election. Democrat Mike Levin, a lawyer, faces Republican Diane Harkey, who is chairman of the State Council which oversees tax administration and is a former mayor. GOP Reps. Mimi Walters, Dana Rohrabacher and Steve Knight are all faced with competitive challenges as well.

More: Here’s what 27 bellwether races say about a possible democratic blue wave

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