After nine hard-hit weeks filled with disturbances, others play QB games, Peak Dad-level postgame dance and much more, let's start…
After nine hard-hit weeks filled with disturbances, others play QB games, Peak Dad-level postgame dance and much more, let’s start screaming about playoff rankings once a week.
The College Football Playoff Selection Committee will release its first set of ratings Tuesday at 19.00 ET, staying at ESPN. It would be shocking if the two top is not an order of Alabama and Clemson. Similarly, undefeated Notre Dame will be somewhere in the top four. The real debate begins with which team deserves to get the second playoff site right now.
Here are some of the major issues before the first CFP ranking.
Let’s first look at the games that stand out for each individual loss major conference team: it’s currently winning in the AP Top 25 and the opponent it lost.
The first thing jumping out of the table above is that many of these teams still have résumerative parts of their schedules in front of them.
The Alabama and Michigan LSU hosts face Penn State this weekend. Kentucky and Georgia decide the SEC East Chronicle on Saturday. Ohio State and Michigan collapse at the end of the regular season, the day after West Virginia and Oklahoma meet and Washington State takes on in-state rival Washington. And that’s just the games these eight teams have left on their schedules against currently ranked teams. The above potential land mines remain in conference games for all of them. This is far from the fact that you should not worry too much about how the initial rankings shake. But based on what we know so far here’s what we’re going to predict for the top 2018’s first ranking.
4. Notre Dame
9. Ohio State
Washington State and West Virginia are still relatively empty slates, so do not be surprised at two-loss teams with better summaries like Florida and Penn State hears their names called before the pumps and rock climbers on Tuesday evening
DELLENGER: Meet the people who make the playoff committee move smoothly
Everyone. And UCF is likely to find itself even lower than that, with two-loss teams (see above) in front of them as well. The Knights entered 2018 with a so-called non-conference slate that included Florida Atlantic, North Carolina and Pittsburgh. The UNC game was interrupted by Hurricane Florence, FAU has disappointed at 3-5 and Pitt is only 4-4. UCF does not have a true quality win on the board, and its best shot at picking up something will come against AAC enemies who have already lost a game: Cincinnati and USF back-to-back to end the regular season and a potential meeting with Houston in the conference title game. Unfortunately, Knights fans, you will be shorter than playoff again, even if you run the table.
BOWL PROJECTIONS: Kentucky, West Virginia in Special Seasons
It has become popular to make fun with Pac-12 in order not to have a real shot in the playoffs. Regular conference standard carriers USC, Washington, Oregon and Stanford have everything from two to four losses right now, leaving Mike Leach and Wazzu as the only team to end 12-1. Should a 12-1 Pac-12 champion take into account the playoffs? Yes, but probably not over an undefeated or one-loss Notre Dame or undefeated and one-loss champion from SEC, ACC, Big 12 or Big Ten. The Cougars can climb up to No. 4 in December, but they need chaos at 2007 level for it to happen.