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Brexit: Deal? No deal? Delay? The week ahead in Brexit votes.

Nothing new in what Barnier offers. This is a refuge to the proposal of only Northern Ireland's only backstop previously rejected by all sides of the House of Commons. – Nigel Dodds (@NigelDoddsDUP) March 8, 2019 [19659023] Britain's chief Brexit negotiator Stephen Barclay has also declined Barnier's offer and said "Now is not the time to recover old arguments." So the maize government has suspended this Northern Ireland's only stop before looking ready to quickly reject it again. The legal commitment can bring about some conversions because "it gives more assurance to the good faith of the European Union than is done in the revocation agreement", Anand Menon, head of the UK in a Changing Europe, told me. But it is unclear whether it will be enough. It is also unclear whether the EU will offer anything else. Parliament will vote for maize agreement on Tuesday. Then know who. May & # 39; s Brexit agreement may look much like the parliament rejected in January when Britain voted on Tuesday, impeding any news. Which means that May may face another embarrassing defeat in Parliament again. But it's March, with less than three weeks to go to the Brexit deadline. The calendar alone can convince parliamentarians to vote for an agreement, especially if they fear the possibility of a lack of Brexit and its disastrous consequences. May has also tried to invite members of the Workers' Opposition Party who is pro-leave with funding for their constituencies. And she has tried to…

Nothing new in what Barnier offers.

This is a refuge to the proposal of only Northern Ireland’s only backstop previously rejected by all sides of the House of Commons.

– Nigel Dodds (@NigelDoddsDUP) March 8, 2019 [19659023] Britain’s chief Brexit negotiator Stephen Barclay has also declined Barnier’s offer and said “Now is not the time to recover old arguments.”

So the maize government has suspended this Northern Ireland’s only stop before looking ready to quickly reject it again.

The legal commitment can bring about some conversions because “it gives more assurance to the good faith of the European Union than is done in the revocation agreement”, Anand Menon, head of the UK in a Changing Europe, told me.

But it is unclear whether it will be enough. It is also unclear whether the EU will offer anything else.

Parliament will vote for maize agreement on Tuesday. Then know who.

May & # 39; s Brexit agreement may look much like the parliament rejected in January when Britain voted on Tuesday, impeding any news. Which means that May may face another embarrassing defeat in Parliament again.

But it’s March, with less than three weeks to go to the Brexit deadline. The calendar alone can convince parliamentarians to vote for an agreement, especially if they fear the possibility of a lack of Brexit and its disastrous consequences. May has also tried to invite members of the Workers’ Opposition Party who is pro-leave with funding for their constituencies. And she has tried to make the “Hotel California” elevation to MEPs – especially tougher Brexiteers – that if they do not vote for their deal now and break up with the EU on March 29, Britain can never leave.

It can be a bit dramatic. But there is a much greater chance that Brexit may be delayed.

May has promised MPs another two votes if her deal fails Tuesday. She said they would happen sequentially, on Wednesday and Thursday.

On Wednesday, Parliament would vote if it wanted to leave the EU without an agreement on March 29. The deeply divided parliament cannot agree much, but it has previously agreed that it wants to leave the EU with an agreement in place, so it seems that it would not be defeated.

If the non-action measure went down, Parliament on Thursday would decide whether to seek a limited extension of Article 50, the provision of the EU Treaty under which the United Kingdom withdraws from the block. May has indicated that this would be a short-term extension, which would simply postpone Brexit for a few months. This would not eliminate a no-scenario scenario. That scenario just wouldn’t happen on March 29.

And any extension will require approval from EU Member States.

“If Britain requests an extension, it will be a short extension, all indications are that” Michael Leigh, a colleague of the German Marshall Fund and former EU Commissioner, told me.

It is likely that it means two months, possibly three. The European Parliament elections will take place in May, and the newly elected members will begin their term in July, so the idea would be for the UK to leave the EU before that.

But, as Leigh told me, “The EU response has been – what is the purpose of the extension?”

EU leaders had previously been reluctant to give the UK an extension unless there was a legitimate reason – something that could significantly change the Brexit outcome, such as another vote on voting on whether to leave the EU or new general elections.

Moving the deadline so that Britain could continue to argue did not seem to have been before, but the EU also wants to avoid the chaos in a non-scenario, which would still be detrimental to that EU (if much worse for the UK.) The EU wants likely not to blame for that fallout, especially if it is justified to avoid by simply pushing back the deadline. Nevertheless, all 27 EU Member States must unanimously approve the extension, and they could impose conditions.

The EU would probably take this decision at the European Council summit as of 21 March, at the border of the Brexit deadline.

If the EU rejects a Brexit extension, something may happen next time. And no-deal Brexit. Or even a third vote on the Brexit agreement.

Many would depend on how badly Month’s deal is defeated – if it is defeated – on Tuesday. This is not likely to be a 230-voice that strikes like last time. If it’s a close voice – say 10 votes or so – it’s possible, May will make a third try.

But if there is much more than that, even 50 or 60 votes, Menon said, “I’m not sure we will go to a” meaningful voice three. “”

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