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Brazil's likely President Victor sets a shift to the right

"We are the majority, we are the real Brazil, and together will build a new nation," the 63-year-old bellowed to…

“We are the majority, we are the real Brazil, and together will build a new nation,” the 63-year-old bellowed to followers in a new video address from his home in Rio de Janeiro, where he recovers from one assassination attempt early in the campaign.

 Mr. Bolsonaro, center, recover from a stabbing earlier in the campaign. "Title =" Mr.. Bolsonaro, center, recover from a stabbing earlier in the campaign. "/> </div> <p> <span class= Mr. Bolsonaro, center, recover from a stabbing earlier in the campaign.


Photo:

antonio lacerda / epa / shutterstock

The blunt military only had a message for his archenemi Herr da Silva, a former political prisoner during the dictatorship 1964-85 served by Bolsonaro. “You will rot in jail!”

Mr. Bolsonaro has robbed opponents and political pundits in recent months by attracting voters over class, race and geographical divisions.

Many here see Mr. Bolsonaro, whose middle name means the Messiah as a savior. He promises to restore the regime in a country that is cursed by crime and corruption, returning the Moroccan economy to growth and reviving traditional family values ​​in a society governed by evangelical Christianity.

But 30% of his followers say they will vote for him simply to try something new, according to a poll last week by Datafolha pollen.

Although he represented Rio de Janeiro as a congressional leader for 27 years after leaving the army, Bolsonaro has positioned itself as an outsider for Brazil’s disgusting political establishment. Traditional parties are not only unthinkable, the voters say, but they have also stolen from the voter for more than a decade, according to the results of the major Car Wash Corrosion Care Survey, the unnecessary taxpayers’ money on everything from boats to emerald sculptures.

The voters are so angry at the Labor Party, which also watched Brazil’s deepest recession from 2014-16, as some have taken to refer to Bolsonaro as the best available “pesticide” or “chemotherapy” Brazil must now protect itself from the return of the party.

Mr. Bolsonaro’s likely victory on Sunday would mark the crime of a party system formed after returning to civilian rule in the mid-1980s. It will be the first time since 1989 that neither the Labor Party nor Brazil’s other political heavyweight, centrist PSDB, has won the presidency.

Campaigns largely through social media, Bolsonaro goes for the single conservative PSL party, which only had 8 seats in Brazil’s 513-seat lower congress house before the first round vote on October 7, when 52 federal deputies swept to victory for the party on the back of his success.

Paratroop-turned politician Jair Bolsonaro won the first round of Brazil’s elections. His statements about dictatorship, torture, women and homosexuals make him a shattering candidate for the presidency. Photo: Getty

But globally, Bolsonaro’s rise follows a nude model of populist nationalism in countries such as Hungary and Turkey, regardless of party ideology. Leftist André Manuel López Obrador also encouraged Mexico’s political status quo in July with a similar commitment to dealing with crime and corruption.

Touch the slogan “Brazil over all, and God above all,” Bolsonaro prefers comparisons with President Trump. “He wants to make America good, I want to make Brazil good,” Bolsonaro said in a new diatribe against the media, complaining about being a victim of a stream of “false news”.

Mr. Bolsonaro’s critics fear that his government may actually have more in common with Philippine ruler Rodrigo Duterte, whose ruthless drug war has killed thousands. Mr Bolsonaro promises to make it easier for civilians to buy weapons for self-defense and for police to kill suspect criminals – actions that security experts say will only lead to more deaths in Brazil, where nearly 64,000 people were murdered last year, the highest annual figure of planet.

Not knowing anything about economy, he has handed over the control of the finance ministry to Paulo Guedes, a university administrator of Chicago-educated economist. Mr Guedes promises to reduce Brazil’s trending government debt by 20% through a series of privatizations, simplifying the Byzantine tax system and reducing generous pension benefits. The economic agenda on the free market goes against the latest statistics of Bolsonaro and the Army Generals, which he plans to owe as ministers, which signals the potential for conflicts.

 President Candidate Fernando Haddad, Allied Former President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, was fighting this week in São Paulo.

Presidential candidate Fernando Haddad, an allied former president Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, was fighting this week in São Paulo.


Photo:

Dario Oliveira / Zuma Press

Mr. Bolsonaro has promised to open Brazil’s economy by reducing import duties and signing new bilateral trade agreements, acquisitions of financial markets. Since mid-September, Brazilian shares increased by 11%, the local currency strengthened almost 13% against the dollar, and the cost of insuring Brazil’s debt has also fallen.

On the foreign policy front, he is likely to position Brazil as a strong allied in the United States of the region and has long spoken against China as a furious investor in South America.

His victory margin on Sunday will not have any direct impact on congress support, but a big win is likely to embellish him as well as his supporters.

Human rights groups fear a shine of hatred can follow because his more radical supporters take inspiration from their comments to defend torture and advocate to strike children to prevent them from “turning to homosexuals” and speaking of minorities they must ” Bend for the majority or simply disappear. “

 Opponents of Mr. Bolsonero projected the phrase

Opposition to Mr. Bolsonero projected the phrase “Not him” on the wall to a building in São Paulo.


Photo:

nacho doce / reuters

His opponent says that Brazil’s young democracy is also in danger from Bolsonaro and his sons, three of which are also rooted in politics. The candidate has removed his own proposals earlier to close the Congress, vowing to respect the constitution of the chosen.

When Sunday’s voting approaches, millions of Brazilians say that they can not vote for either Bolsonaro or Haddad. The election has given bitter and luscious feuds, driving families and friends apart.

Like many others, Juliana Zamboni, a 30-year-old lawyer from São Paulo, plans to go to the beach during the weekend instead of voting.

“I’m afraid, really scared to be honest,” she said. “Bolsonaro can be a kind of revolutionary and I like change, but everything that’s extreme is bad.”

Write to Samantha Pearson at [email protected] and Luciana Magalhães at Luciana.Magalhaes @ wsj.com

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