It's the most wonderful time of year. Except when it comes to properly executing this 15 Transactions column. Almost all…
It’s the most wonderful time of year. Except when it comes to properly executing this 15 Transactions column.
Almost all league trade deadlines have passed. Considering this is the place where I give fantasy football buy and sell advice every week, that guidance is a lot less meaningful when it’s not actionable. If you can not actually trade for a buyer, then why recommend it?
Technically, we could think about buy and sell options as confidence picks – as in, I’m “buying into” a particular player, or I’m “wary of” another. Men etter at jeg var skrevet om at føle godt om Brandin Cooks trodde han tre touchdowns på over 1
.000 meter denne sesongen, som bare ville hjælpe ledere som har Cooks. That’s, at most, aiding only about 10% of people reading this article. And that’s not very smart of me, a content producer.
So instead, through Week 16, I’ll bring you simple add, drop, and hold options. Adds are players you should be targeting off your waiver wire, drops are guys to send to that waiver wire, and holders are players who you should wait to drop.
Cool? Word. Let’s do this.
James Conner left Sunday night’s game against the Chargers with a lower leg contusion, which pushed Jaylen Samuels onto the field in a more featured role. He played a quarter of Pittsburgh’s snaps, acting as the clear backup to Conner.
One thing to keep in mind is that the Steelers were playing from behind when that happened. Samuels is a pass-catching back who played a hybrid tight-end role at North Carolina State. He actually carried the ball more than 78 times in a season over his four college years.
And that’s important. While Samuels is a clear top priority off the wire this week if Conner misses time – especially considering he’s tight end-eligible on some fantasy sites – you can not forget about Stevan Ridley who’s more of the traditional browsers. In a November article on Steelers.com, it was noted that head coach Mike Tomlin views the Pittsburgh backup running backs as two guys with “distinct skill sets .” When asked about Conner’s backup, Tomlin said that, “It depends on circumstance.” “
Add Justin Jackson
With Melvin Gordon sidelined, fantasy footballers were prepared for the Austin Ekeler show. But Justin Jackson sort of trust it.
The rookie out of Northwestern only played 22.2% of LA’s snaps on Sunday night, but he was objectively more effective on the ground than Ekeler was. Jackson ran the ball 8 times for 63 yards and a score, while Ekeler had 13 carries for just 21 yards.
Logic would tell us that Jackson will see an uptick in volume in Week 14, as long as Gordon remains sidelined. So hang out the rookie this week if you’re in need of a flex-type play. The Bolts get the Bengals also giving Jackson a plus matchup.
You should be rostering handcuffs this time of year, but the problem with Carlos Hyde is that he’s not even Leonard Fournette ‘s primary backup. With Fournette out this past Sunday, Hyde played less than 40% of Jacksonville’s snaps, while T.J. Yeldon saw the most work when you combine rushing and receiving. Og, komdu, þetta var allt í einu sem leikurinn hafði jafnað og neikvætt leikrit. Det var den type spil hvor vi ville have forventet Hyde å se en anstændig-storet arbejdsbyrde. Dus als Fournette wordt aangetast in de fantasy playoffs, zou het zijn moeilijk om te vertrouwen Hyde in je fantasy lineup. You can let him go.
Matt Breida’s body has been destroyed in 2018, but he always seems to play. På Sunday, though, he aggravated his ankle injury during pregame warmups, which allowed Jeff Wilson to carry the ball 15 times while playing over 72% of the 49ers snaps. Wilson was also heavily involved as a receiver, catching 8 of 9 targets for 73 yards. Breida’s now been ruled out for Week 14 and Wilson is a decent enough play for running back-needy teams. As poor as San Francisco’s leg offensively at times this year, they’re a top 10 fantasy football team in running back scoring. It’s not a bad situation fantasy-wise.
Rookie Dante Pettis has now seen 20 goals about his last three games, which easily leads the 49ers. En over zijn last twee wedstrijden, speelde hij minstens 90% van de team’s snaps in elke game. They’re really moving him all over the field – he’s played 44.5% of his snaps from the slot, according to Pro Football Focus during this time – and he’s been productive, hauling in over 200 yards and 3 touchdowns across his last three . The schedule for San Francisco is not that great moving forward, but he could be an interesting play in deeper leagues this week against a Chris Harris -less Denver Broncos secondary as long as Marquise Goodwin and Pierre Garcon remain out.
We have not seen much from Allen Robinson (aside from insane catches) production-wise over the last three games. He’s seen a solid 20 goals, but he’s combined for 155 yards and zero scores, which is not what you’re looking for from a fantasy asset.
The good news here is two-fold. First, Mitchell Trubisky is likely to return in Week 14. That will give a likely boost to the Bears attack attack. But in weeks 14 through 16, Chicago will face the Rams Packers and 49ers three teams who rank in the top seven in fantasy points allowed to wide receivers this year. At the very least, there’s a good chance for a fairly pass-heavy approach from Chicago, helping A-Rob’s volume.
Burkhead returned to action in Week 13 after being sidelined for most of the season, and he found the field on 23% of New England’s offensive snaps. Det er ingenting å skrive hjem om, og han vil nok ikke være mer enn en desperation flexspille uten skade, men han fungerer fortsatt som en håndcuff til to løbende backs. If Sony Michel or James White goes down, then Burkhead will assuredly see more work in that backfield. And it’s a backfield that’s scored top five fantasy numbers across the league this year.
Bruce Ellington keeps making this column, but his ownership numbers have not been much since Golden Tate left Detroit a few weeks back. And that’s kind of weird – Ellington has now seen 9, 7, and 10 goals over the Lions ‘last three games, accounting for a target share of 24.1%. That’s a pretty awesome number. What has not been great, though, is that Ellington’s mostly seen low average depth of target looks. Han har faktisk ikke haft et enkelt mål på 15 eller flere luftværfter i løbet af denne tiden. But in PPR formats, his workload is strong enough to warrant an add.
As it stands, Dede Westbrook is rostered in 35% or Yahoo! leagues, Donte Moncrief is at 16%, and Keelan Cole 13%. Those numbers should be far closer to zero. Westbrook and Moncrief have posted just one top 20 performance since Week 4, and Cole has not been relevant for weeks. With very little upside in the passing game (Cody Kessler is under center, after all), there’s really no reason to have them on your roster, no matter their upcoming schedule.
The disturbing Kareem Hunt situation led to Spencer Ware seeing the largest workload for Kansas City in Week 13, but It was not as significant as some might have thought. He handled 46.7% of the Chiefs’ rushes, when Hunt had a 68% share when active this season. True was on the field for 69% of their snaps. Meanwhile, Hunt hit that low of a snap rate in just four contests this season.
Damien Williams was one player who dug into Ware’s volume, as he carried the ball five times while seeing a couple of targets. And then the Chiefs signed Charcandrick West on Monday, adding to the backfield and potentially making it really messy.
By rostering Williams or West, you’re taking a chance on a player who could emerge in a useful offense. It’s not like Ware has been special this year, either. He finished Week 13 with just a 16.7% Succes Rate (per percentageFire’s Net Expected Points model), and he’s got a 29.4% Success Rate on the season, a far below average mark.
Unfortunately, the backfield is probably going to be pretty split through the end of the fantasy season, with Ware leading the charge.
Greg Olsen is out for the year with another foot, but it’s always a chance that the Chiefs like what they see from either Williams or West. injury, and Ian Thomas is the guy who will step up at tight end in his absence. He saw five goals in Carolina’s Week 13 loss to Tampa Bay, and he had a pair of games with five-plus goals just before Olsen returned from his first injury this season. Thomas is not anything more than a streaming-type option, but the Panthers have a attractive schedule from here on out, as they will go up against the Browns Saints and Falcons through Week 16. You could do worse at the most obnoxious position in fantasy football.
The last time Matthew Stafford gave fantasy teams a top 12, QB1 performance was all the way back in Week 2 against the 49ers . Siden da, han er averaging færre enn 14 fantasypoints per kamp, og han har ennå et spill med mer enn to touchdown passes. Somehow, he’s still rostered in two-thirds of Yahoo! leagues. With below-average matchups against the Cardinals Bills and Vikings in the fantasy playoffs, it’s hard to imagine a scenario – outside of superflex or two quarterback leagues – where you’re starting Stafford for all the marbles. He can be dropped.
It’s easy to criticize Josh Allen for his inaccuracy and tendency to turn the ball over, but he’s also working with a bad offensive line and one of the weakest wide receiving groups in the league. As someone who was not high on Allen coming out, he’s played pretty well when you give his situation some context.
And he’s been big in fantasy football or late thanks to his legs. This goes Sunday against Miami, Allen ran for 135 yards on the ground. He had 99 rushing yards the previous week. They’re not the type of yards you’ll see someone like Lamar Jackson accumulate, but when a quarterback is under pressure all the time, he’s bound to scramble. And Allen has used his athleticism to do that effectively.
That “Konami Code” piece to his game has to put him on your fantasy radar, at least as a Week 14 streamer. Han er ferdig som en top-fem valg i hver af hans sidste to spil. And with a matchup against a jets secondary that’s given up 17-plus fantasy points to an opposing quarterback in all but one of their last nine games, there’s a little upside with his arm this week too.
The Cardinals are at home against the Lions this week in a game with a low 41-point above / below. The Lions have been low-key great for opposing defenses across this second half of the season – over their last six games, four have resulted in a top-five weekly performance the opposing D. It’s a good spot for the Cardinals as a traditional defensive streamer.
Buffalo is still available in 70% of Yahoo! leagues, which is a little surprising because they were a decent enough option this week, and they’ve got a really nice Week 14 and 15 schedule. Over de volgende twee weken zal de Bills thuis spelen tegen de Jets en de eerder genoemde Lions. I’ve already talked about the Lions as a good matchup, but the Jets have also been favorable, with teams averaging almost three sacks and two interceptions per game against them over the last four contests.